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بيانات علاوة العقود الدائمة للعملات المشفرة لأبحاث التمويل وفروق الأسعار بين العقود الآجلة والفورية

دفتر ملاحظات Machine Learning for Trading

الملخص

يصف هذا المستند مجموعة بيانات وسير عمل لدراسة العقود الآجلة الدائمة للعملات المشفرة إلى جانب مؤشر علاوتها. ويعرض مشاهدات OHLCV كل ساعة وقراءات العلاوة كل ثماني ساعات ضمن نطاق مضبوط، مع خطوات التنزيل والتحميل والتصفية والتحليل الأولي. ويُعرّف مؤشر العلاوة بأنه الفرق النسبي بين أسعار العقود الدائمة والفورية؛ وتشير إشارته إلى ما إذا كان العقد الدائم يتداول فوق السعر الفوري أو دونه. ويعرض المستند البيانات كمدخل لأبحاث مراجحة معدل التمويل وعودة العلاوة إلى متوسطها، لا كإثبات لاستراتيجية مختبرة.

تأتي البيانات من موجز بينانس العام وتتضمن حجم التداول الخاص بالبورصة. وتختلف التغطية بين الرموز: فللأصول الراسخة سجلات أطول، بينما تبدأ الأصول المدرجة حديثًا في وقت لاحق، كما خضع أحد الرموز لإعادة تسمية. وتتوافق مشاهدات العلاوة مع فترات تسوية التمويل. وينبغي للباحثين مراعاة هذه الفروق في التغطية وتركيز التداول في منصة واحدة والتمييز بين مقياس الأساس والتمويل المحقق أو العوائد القابلة للتداول عند تصميم الاختبارات.

الأفكار الرئيسية

  • تقرن مجموعة البيانات عقوداً آجلة دائمة OHLCV كل ساعة بمشاهدات لمؤشر العلاوة تؤخذ كل ثماني ساعات.
  • تقيس العلاوة الفرق النسبي في السعر بين عقد دائم وسعر العقد الفوري.
  • تشير العلاوة الموجبة أو السالبة إلى تداول العقد الدائم فوق السعر الفوري أو دونه، على التوالي.
  • يمكن أن تدعم البيانات أبحاث مراجحة معدل التمويل وعودة العلاوة إلى متوسطها، لكنها لا تثبت الربحية.
  • تبدأ التغطية في أوقات مختلفة بين الأصول، ويعكس الحجم بيانات بينانس وحدها.

الوسوم

النص الكامل
# Crypto Premium Index Dataset


# Crypto Premium Index Dataset

Perpetual futures OHLCV and premium index data for funding rate arbitrage strategy.

| Property | Value |
|----------|-------|
| **Provider** | Binance Public API |
| **Asset Class** | Cryptocurrency |
| **Frequency** | 1h (OHLCV), 8h (premium) |
| **Symbols** | 20 perpetual futures |
| **Coverage** | 2020-2025 |
| **Size** | ~70 MB |
| **API Key** | None (free) |
| **Loader** | `load_crypto_perps()`, `load_crypto_premium()` |

```python
"""Crypto Premium Index - download, explore, and update workflow."""

from pathlib import Path

import polars as pl
import yaml
```

## 1. Configuration

The crypto universe is defined in `config.yaml`. Organized by market segment:
major cryptocurrencies, DeFi tokens, and Layer 1 blockchains.

```python
# Load and display configuration
config_path = Path("config.yaml")
config = yaml.safe_load(config_path.read_text())
crypto_config = config["crypto"]

print("=== Crypto Configuration ===")
print(f"Provider: {crypto_config['provider']}")
print(f"Market: {crypto_config['market']}")
print(f"Date range: {crypto_config['start']} to {crypto_config['end']}")
print(f"Premium interval: {crypto_config['interval']}")
print("\nCategories:")
for category, info in crypto_config["symbols"].items():
    symbols = info["symbols"]
    print(f"  {category}: {len(symbols)} tokens - {info['description']}")
    print(f"    {', '.join(symbols[:5])}{'...' if len(symbols) > 5 else ''}")

total_symbols = sum(len(info["symbols"]) for info in crypto_config["symbols"].values())
print(f"\nTotal: {total_symbols} symbols")
```

## 2. API Key Setup

**No API key required.** Binance Public API provides free access to historical data
through data.binance.vision.

The `ml4t-data` library handles rate limiting automatically.

```python
print("Binance Public API requires no API key - data is freely available.")
print("Source: data.binance.vision")
```

## 3. Download Data

The download uses the `ml4t-data` library which handles:
- Rate limiting
- Data validation
- Consistent schema output

Two types of data are available:
- **OHLCV** (hourly): Price and volume for perpetual futures
- **Premium Index** (8-hourly): Basis between perpetual and spot prices

```python
def download_crypto_ohlcv(
    dry_run: bool = False, force: bool = False, symbols: list[str] | None = None
):
    """Download crypto perpetual futures OHLCV from Binance.

    Args:
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded without doing it
        force: If True, re-download even if data exists
        symbols: Specific symbols to download (default: all from config)
    """
    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    # Load config
    config = yaml.safe_load(config_path.read_text())
    crypto_config = config["crypto"]

    # Flatten symbols list
    if symbols is None:
        symbols = []
        for category_info in crypto_config["symbols"].values():
            symbols.extend(category_info["symbols"])

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "crypto" / "market"
    output_path = output_dir / "perps_1h.parquet"

    print("=== Crypto OHLCV Download ===")
    print(f"Symbols: {len(symbols)}")
    print("Frequency: 1h")
    print(f"Date range: {crypto_config['start']} to {crypto_config['end']}")
    print(f"Output: {output_path}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        for symbol in symbols:
            print(f"  {symbol}")
        return

    # Check existing
    if output_path.exists() and not force:
        existing = pl.read_parquet(output_path)
        print(f"\nData already exists ({len(existing):,} rows).")
        print("Use force=True to re-download.")
        return existing

    # Initialize provider
    from ml4t.data.providers import BinancePublicProvider

    provider = BinancePublicProvider(market="spot")

    # Download each symbol
    all_data = []
    print(f"\nDownloading {len(symbols)} symbols...")
    for symbol in symbols:
        print(f"  {symbol}...", end=" ", flush=True)
        try:
            df = provider.fetch_ohlcv(
                symbol=symbol,
                start=crypto_config["start"],
                end=crypto_config["end"],
                frequency="hourly",
            )
            df = df.with_columns(pl.lit(symbol).alias("symbol"))
            all_data.append(df)
            print(f"OK ({len(df):,} rows)")
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"ERROR: {e}")

    if not all_data:
        raise RuntimeError("No data downloaded!")

    # Combine and save
    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    combined = pl.concat(all_data)
    combined.write_parquet(output_path)

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Total rows: {len(combined):,}")
    print(f"Symbols: {combined['symbol'].n_unique()}")
    print(f"Saved to: {output_path}")

    return combined


def download_crypto_premium(
    dry_run: bool = False, force: bool = False, symbols: list[str] | None = None
):
    """Download crypto premium index from Binance.

    Args:
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded without doing it
        force: If True, re-download even if data exists
        symbols: Specific symbols to download (default: all from config)
    """
    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    # Load config
    config = yaml.safe_load(config_path.read_text())
    crypto_config = config["crypto"]

    # Flatten symbols list
    if symbols is None:
        symbols = []
        for category_info in crypto_config["symbols"].values():
            symbols.extend(category_info["symbols"])

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "crypto" / "market"
    output_path = output_dir / "premium_index_8h.parquet"

    print("=== Crypto Premium Index Download ===")
    print(f"Symbols: {len(symbols)}")
    print("Frequency: 8h (funding rate interval)")
    print(f"Date range: {crypto_config['start']} to {crypto_config['end']}")
    print(f"Output: {output_path}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        for symbol in symbols:
            print(f"  {symbol}")
        return

    # Check existing
    if output_path.exists() and not force:
        existing = pl.read_parquet(output_path)
        print(f"\nData already exists ({len(existing):,} rows).")
        print("Use force=True to re-download.")
        return existing

    # Initialize provider (futures market for premium index)
    from ml4t.data.providers import BinancePublicProvider

    provider = BinancePublicProvider(market="futures")

    print(f"\nDownloading premium index for {len(symbols)} symbols...")
    premium_data = provider.fetch_premium_index_multi(
        symbols=symbols,
        start=crypto_config["start"],
        end=crypto_config["end"],
        interval="8h",
    )

    # Save
    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    premium_data.write_parquet(output_path)

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Total rows: {len(premium_data):,}")
    print(f"Symbols: {premium_data['symbol'].n_unique()}")
    print(f"Saved to: {output_path}")

    return premium_data
```

### Download OHLCV Data

```python
# Uncomment to download OHLCV data
# download_crypto_ohlcv()
```

### Download Premium Index

```python
# Uncomment to download premium index
# download_crypto_premium()
```

### Dry Run (Preview)

```python
download_crypto_ohlcv(dry_run=True)
```

## 4. Load and Explore

Once downloaded, use the loaders throughout the book:

```python
from data import load_crypto_perps, load_crypto_premium
```

### Perpetual Futures OHLCV

```python
# Load hourly OHLCV data
perps = load_crypto_perps()

print(f"Shape: {perps.shape}")
print(f"Symbols: {perps['symbol'].n_unique()}")
print(f"Date range: {perps['timestamp'].min()} to {perps['timestamp'].max()}")
print(f"Memory: {perps.estimated_size('mb'):.1f} MB")
```

```python
# Schema
perps.schema
```

```python
# Preview
perps.head(10)
```

```python
# Volume by symbol (USD notional)
volume_by_symbol = (
    perps.group_by("symbol")
    .agg(
        (pl.col("volume") * pl.col("close")).sum().alias("total_volume_usd"),
        pl.len().alias("n_observations"),
        pl.col("timestamp").min().alias("first_date"),
        pl.col("timestamp").max().alias("last_date"),
    )
    .sort("total_volume_usd", descending=True)
)
volume_by_symbol
```

### Premium Index

```python
# Load 8-hourly premium index data
premium = load_crypto_premium()

print(f"Shape: {premium.shape}")
print(f"Symbols: {premium['symbol'].n_unique()}")
print(f"Date range: {premium['timestamp'].min()} to {premium['timestamp'].max()}")
print(f"Memory: {premium.estimated_size('mb'):.1f} MB")
```

```python
# Preview
premium.head(10)
```

```python
# Premium statistics by symbol
# Premium index captures basis between perpetual and spot
premium_stats = (
    premium.group_by("symbol")
    .agg(
        pl.col("premium_index_close").mean().alias("mean_premium"),
        pl.col("premium_index_close").std().alias("std_premium"),
        pl.col("premium_index_close").min().alias("min_premium"),
        pl.col("premium_index_close").max().alias("max_premium"),
    )
    .sort("mean_premium", descending=True)
)
premium_stats
```

## 5. Data Profile

Profiles document the dataset structure, statistics, and quality metrics.

```python
from ml4t.data.storage.data_profile import load_profile

from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH
from utils.paths import display_path

for dataset, filename in [
    ("OHLCV", "perps_1h_profile.json"),
    ("Premium", "premium_index_8h_profile.json"),
]:
    profile_path = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "crypto" / "market" / filename
    profile = load_profile(profile_path)
    if profile is None:
        print(f"No profile at {display_path(profile_path)}")
        print(
            "Profiles are written next to the data by whatever builds the dataset, through\n"
            "ml4t.data.storage.data_profile. There is no separate profile-generating\n"
            "script, and nothing in this notebook writes one.\n"
        )
    else:
        print(f"=== Crypto {dataset} Profile ===")
        print(f"Written by {profile.source}")
        print(profile.summary())
        print()
```

## 6. Loader Options

The loaders support filtering by symbols and date range:

```python
# Specific symbols
btc_eth = load_crypto_perps(symbols=["BTCUSDT", "ETHUSDT"])
print(f"BTC + ETH only: {btc_eth.shape}")
```

```python
# Date range
recent = load_crypto_premium(start_date="2024-01-01")
print(f"Premium 2024+: {recent.shape}")
```

```python
# Combined filters
filtered = load_crypto_perps(
    symbols=["BTCUSDT", "ETHUSDT", "SOLUSDT"], start_date="2023-01-01", end_date="2023-12-31"
)
print(f"3 symbols, 2023: {filtered.shape}")
```

## 7. Documentation

### Binance Public API
- [Binance Public Data](https://data.binance.vision/)
- [API Documentation](https://binance-docs.github.io/apidocs/spot/en/)

### Premium Index

The premium index measures the basis between perpetual futures and spot prices:

$$\text{Premium} = \frac{P_{perp} - P_{spot}}{P_{spot}}$$

Key properties:
- **Positive premium**: Perpetual trades at premium (bullish sentiment)
- **Negative premium**: Perpetual trades at discount (bearish sentiment)
- **Funding rate**: Derived from premium, settles every 8 hours

### Data Quality Notes
- Volume represents Binance exchange volume only
- BTC/ETH/major alts: Data from Jan 2020 (6 years history)
- Newer tokens (APT, SUI, INJ, ARB, OP): Data from listing date (2022-2023)
- MATICUSDT renamed to POLUSDT in Sept 2024 (data ends there)
- 8-hour intervals align with funding rate settlement times (00:00, 08:00, 16:00 UTC)

## 8. Updating Data

To update with the latest data, re-run the download:

```python
# Update OHLCV data
download_crypto_ohlcv()

# Update premium index
download_crypto_premium()

# Force full re-download
download_crypto_ohlcv(force=True)
download_crypto_premium(force=True)
```

**Tip**: Update the `end` date in `config.yaml` before re-downloading.

## Summary

| Item | Value |
|------|-------|
| Symbols | 20 perpetual futures (major, DeFi, L1) |
| Frequencies | 1h OHLCV, 8h premium index |
| Coverage | 2020-2025 (6 years for BTC/ETH) |
| Provider | Binance Public (free) |
| Config | `config.yaml` |
| Loaders | `load_crypto_perps()`, `load_crypto_premium()` |

**Use case**: Funding rate arbitrage strategy exploiting premium mean reversion.

يُعرض النص كاملًا مع نسبه إلى مصدره وفقًا لترخيصه. الترخيص: MIT

أعدّ وكيل الأبحاث في Stratmill هذا الملخص استنادًا إلى المصدر الأصلي؛ وهو ليس نسخة منه.