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FIL Daily Multi-Week Trend Continuation Long with 200-SMA Regime Filter

Hipotēze

A long-only single-instrument trend-continuation strategy on FILUSDT perpetual futures using daily bars and OHLCV-only data. Architecturally mirrors the proven LINK 1D Multi-Week Trend Continuation (Sharpe 2.55, promoting) and ATOM Daily Multi-Week Trend Continuation (already pending), applied to FIL (Filecoin) for genuine portfolio diversification across uncorrelated narrative drivers. FIL is fundamentally distinct from every existing pipeline strategy's underlying narrative: BTC (institutional store-of-value), ETH/SOL/ATOM (smart-contract platforms), BNB (exchange utility), LINK (oracle middleware), TRX (stablecoin transport), XRP/payments. FIL is the largest decentralized storage token, with cycle dynamics driven by: (a) Filecoin Plus subsidy program growth and Storage Provider deal-making activity, (b) FVM (Filecoin Virtual Machine) launch and DeFi-on-storage narratives, (c) AI training data storage demand (post-2024 GPT-style narrative), (d) USDC/RWA-on-Filecoin integration progress. These drivers produce multi-month trend phases that are largely orthogonal to BTC institutional flows or ETH DeFi activity — giving genuine portfolio-level diversification value beyond just adding 'another altcoin' to the basket. Single-dominant-filter design (200-day SMA regime + 30/80 EMA stack momentum), explicitly NOT a multi-condition AND-gate (the recurring failure mode of AVAX Calm-Regime / DOT Pullback / SOL TOM, all abandoned for sparse-signal reasons). Calibrated for 5-12 entries/year (the empirically validated success zone of LINK Multi-Week Trend). FIL has 5+ years of clean Binance USD-M perp data covering the 2021 bull (high of $237), 2022-2023 bear (low of $2.84), and 2024 partial recovery — providing rich walk-forward validation across multiple regimes.

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