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20,364 dokumenter
The discussion explains why a commodity spread option may use variability measured in absolute price changes rather than return volatility. For a spread defined as the difference between two asset prices, the value can cross zero. That makes a geometric…
The document considers execution for a liquid-futures strategy that generates hourly signals and initially rests a limit order before switching to a market order. The trader reports substantial slippage and asks how to improve waiting times, limit prices,…
The discussion explains that price gaps threaten market makers mainly when they have inventory or resting orders exposed to a move. A gap can turn a bid or ask fill into an immediate loss, while inventory held for later sale can lose value before it can be…
The document shows how to identify the distribution of the sum of two independent, identically distributed Levy random variables without computing an inverse Fourier transform. It starts from the Levy distribution’s characteristic function. Independence…
The accepted answer explains how to raise a portfolio’s volatility by combining a tangency portfolio with a risk-free asset. Since the risk-free asset has zero volatility and is uncorrelated with the tangency portfolio, the combined portfolio’s volatility is…
The note examines why Hidden Markov Models are used for financial prices despite their first-order Markov assumption: future states depend on the present state, rather than directly on the full path of prior observations. It also asks whether technical…
The note considers which economic variables may move before changes in government yield curves. It argues that, in developed markets with credible monetary control, rising inflation tends to precede yield-curve flattening, while increases in overnight rates…
The note explains why a low R-squared can still be meaningful in return prediction. In regression, R-squared measures improvement in accounting for the target’s variation relative to a baseline that always predicts its mean. A positive value may indicate…
The note outlines a way to identify historical Treasury benchmark securities without relying on a proprietary terminal. Start with records of Treasury auctions, then assign each issue a rounded original term by measuring the time from issuance to maturity in…
The note explains why buying a TBA dollar roll should not be treated as simply shorting mortgage-backed securities. A roll combines two linked trades: buying or selling the front-month TBA and taking the opposite position in a later month. The example…
This discussion distinguishes full Kelly betting from choosing a bet size to pursue a particular, submaximal wealth target. Full Kelly maximizes expected logarithmic growth, while a smaller fractional Kelly stake may be appropriate when the objective is a…
This note derives the risk-neutral up-move probability for a one-period binomial stock model. Under the risk-neutral measure, the expected stock price grows at the risk-free rate over the period. Equating the probability-weighted up and down stock values to…
This note discusses selecting the tuning parameters for the Two-Scale Realized Volatility estimator. It describes setting the lag parameter to one in the cited extension for dependent noise, and choosing the subsampling parameter as a constant times the…
This note explains how to build a constant-correlation covariance target from a sample covariance matrix, then blend that target with the sample estimate using a chosen shrinkage weight. It first converts each off-diagonal covariance into a correlation,…
The document describes a reported discrepancy in AAPL returns between two historical calculations. A student found that the return over a specified period differed from class notes prepared earlier, prompting an investigation of Yahoo Finance adjusted…
The document presents an implementation question about numerically solving a Dupire partial differential equation to price vanilla options in log-moneyness and time coordinates. The author uses a fully implicit finite-difference scheme and reports difficulty…
The document explains how to estimate the yield of a floating-rate note issued above par. Its example describes a multi-year note paying LIBOR plus a fixed spread and asks how the investor’s yield compares with that coupon margin. The proposed approach uses…
The document asks how to bootstrap a zero curve from swap quotes when valuation occurs between floating-leg reset dates. It explains why the usual par-at-reset assumption does not directly apply: the floating leg may not be worth par, and the swap may have…
The document asks why a Treasury futures hedge ratio based on portfolio and cheapest-to-deliver bond basis-point values is scaled by the futures conversion factor. The question contrasts a face-value comparison—where contracts appear to deliver a fixed…
The document asks why a UK bulk annuity provider might adjust bond and swap hedges regularly when another insurer manages similar exposures with mostly static positions. It describes a hedging process that monitors sensitivity measures such as PV01 and IE01…
The document explores how to allocate a total change in a metric among several multiplicative components. It frames the attribution as integrating a multivariable function’s total derivative between its initial and final values. Because partial contributions…
The document describes a Clenshaw–Curtis quadrature implementation for pricing an American call on a stock that pays multiple discrete dividends. The author compares the computed price with a published result and with a Vellekoop–Nieuwenhuis implementation,…
The document explains how a cash-or-nothing digital call relates to a vanilla call. Its price can be represented as the negative derivative of the call price with respect to strike, and a narrow call spread gives a practical approximation to the digital…
Market incompleteness means the available securities do not span every possible payoff; it does not by itself imply arbitrage. The document tests for arbitrage by seeking a portfolio whose payoff is nonnegative in every state, positive in at least one state,…