분기별 US 가치투자와 피오트로스키 품질 순위
기사 Strategy library · 저자: QuantRocket
요약
이 문서는 가치 ETF를 본뜬 분기별 롱 온리 US 주식 전략을 설명합니다. NYSE 주식에서 시작해 금융사, ADR, REIT를 제외한 다음 90일 동안의 평균 거래대금으로 유동성을 선별합니다. 대상 중 EV/EBIT 기준으로 가장 저렴한 10분의 1을 고르되 EBIT가 음수인 기업은 제외하고, 피오트로스키 F 점수가 가장 높은 절반을 남깁니다. 보유 종목은 동일 비중으로 편입하고 분기마다 리밸런싱합니다.
품질 점수는 수익성, 영업현금흐름, 레버리지, 유동성, 주식 발행, 마진, 자산 회전율을 다루는 아홉 가지 신호를 합산합니다. 대부분의 신호에서 현재 펀더멘털을 직전 보고 회계기간과 비교합니다. 문서는 구현 로직과 데이터 필드 선택을 제공하지만 백테스트 결과나 투자 성과 근거는 없습니다. 결과는 데이터 이용 가능 여부와 보고 시점에 좌우됩니다. 전략은 좁은 종목군에 집중하며 별도의 포트폴리오 리스크 관리는 명시하지 않습니다.
핵심 아이디어
- NYSE 주식의 유동성을 선별한 뒤 EV/EBIT 기준으로 순위를 매깁니다.
- 금융사, ADR, REIT, 음수 EBIT 기업을 제외합니다.
- 피오트로스키 방식의 아홉 가지 신호로 가치 후보의 펀더멘털 품질을 평가합니다.
- 선정 종목을 동일 비중으로 편입하고 분기마다 리밸런싱합니다.
- 문서는 구현 방법을 설명하지만 백테스트나 성과 근거는 제공하지 않습니다.
태그
전문
# QuantitativeValue
# QuantitativeValue
Value strategy modeled on Alpha Architect's QVAL ETF.
Intended to be run with Sharadar fundamentals and prices.
Strategy rules:
1. Universe selection
a. Starting universe: all NYSE stocks
b. Exclude financials, ADRs, REITs
c. Liquidity screen: select top N percent of stocks by dollar
volume (N=60)
2. Apply value screen: select cheapest N percent of stocks by
enterprise multiple (EV/EBIT) (N=10)
3. Rank by quality: of the value stocks, select the N percent
with the highest quality, as ranked by Piotroski F-Score (N=50)
4. Apply equal weights
5. Rebalance portfolio quarterly
## Source (Apache-2.0)
```python
# Copyright QuantRocket LLC - All Rights Reserved
#
# Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
# you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
# You may obtain a copy of the License at
#
# http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
#
# Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
# distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
# limitations under the License.
import pandas as pd
from moonshot import Moonshot
from moonshot.commission import PerShareCommission
from quantrocket.fundamental import get_sharadar_fundamentals_reindexed_like
class USStockCommission(PerShareCommission):
BROKER_COMMISSION_PER_SHARE = 0.005
class QuantitativeValue(Moonshot):
"""
Value strategy modeled on Alpha Architect's QVAL ETF.
Intended to be run with Sharadar fundamentals and prices.
Strategy rules:
1. Universe selection
a. Starting universe: all NYSE stocks
b. Exclude financials, ADRs, REITs
c. Liquidity screen: select top N percent of stocks by dollar
volume (N=60)
2. Apply value screen: select cheapest N percent of stocks by
enterprise multiple (EV/EBIT) (N=10)
3. Rank by quality: of the value stocks, select the N percent
with the highest quality, as ranked by Piotroski F-Score (N=50)
4. Apply equal weights
5. Rebalance portfolio quarterly
"""
CODE = "qval"
DB = "sharadar-us-stk-1d"
DB_FIELDS = ["Close", "Volume"]
DOLLAR_VOLUME_TOP_N_PCT = 60
DOLLAR_VOLUME_WINDOW = 90
UNIVERSES = "nyse-stk"
EXCLUDE_UNIVERSES = ["nyse-financials", "nyse-adrs", "nyse-reits"]
VALUE_TOP_N_PCT = 10
QUALITY_TOP_N_PCT = 50
REBALANCE_INTERVAL = "Q"
COMMISSION_CLASS = USStockCommission
def prices_to_signals(self, prices: pd.DataFrame):
# Step 1.c: get a mask of stocks with adequate dollar volume
closes = prices.loc["Close"]
volumes = prices.loc["Volume"]
avg_dollar_volumes = (closes * volumes).rolling(self.DOLLAR_VOLUME_WINDOW).mean()
dollar_volume_ranks = avg_dollar_volumes.rank(axis=1, ascending=False, pct=True)
have_adequate_dollar_volumes = dollar_volume_ranks <= (self.DOLLAR_VOLUME_TOP_N_PCT/100)
# Step 2. Apply value screen: select cheapest N percent of stocks by
# enterprise multiple (EV/EBITDA) (N=10)
fundamentals = get_sharadar_fundamentals_reindexed_like(
closes,
fields=["EVEBIT", "EBIT"],
dimension="ART")
enterprise_multiples = fundamentals.loc["EVEBIT"]
ebits = fundamentals.loc["EBIT"]
# Ignore negative earnings
enterprise_multiples = enterprise_multiples.where(ebits > 0)
# Only apply rankings to stocks with adequate dollar volume
value_ranks = enterprise_multiples.where(have_adequate_dollar_volumes).rank(axis=1, ascending=True, pct=True)
are_value_stocks = value_ranks <= (self.VALUE_TOP_N_PCT/100)
# Step 3: Rank by quality: of the value stocks, select the N percent
# with the highest quality, as ranked by Piotroski F-Score (N=50)
f_scores = self.get_f_scores(closes)
# Rank the value stocks by F-Score
quality_ranks = f_scores.where(are_value_stocks).rank(axis=1, ascending=False, pct=True)
long_signals = quality_ranks <= (self.QUALITY_TOP_N_PCT/100)
return long_signals.astype(int)
def get_f_scores(self, closes: pd.DataFrame):
# Step 1: query relevant indicators
fundamentals = get_sharadar_fundamentals_reindexed_like(
closes,
dimension="ART", # As-reported trailing twelve month reports
fields=[
"ROA", # Return on assets
"ASSETS", # Total Assets
"NCFO", # Net Cash Flow from Operations
"DE", # Debt to Equity Ratio
"CURRENTRATIO", # Current ratio
"SHARESWA", # Outstanding shares
"GROSSMARGIN", # Gross margin
"ASSETTURNOVER", # Asset turnover
])
return_on_assets = fundamentals.loc["ROA"]
total_assets = fundamentals.loc["ASSETS"]
operating_cash_flows = fundamentals.loc["NCFO"]
leverages = fundamentals.loc["DE"]
current_ratios = fundamentals.loc["CURRENTRATIO"]
shares_out = fundamentals.loc["SHARESWA"]
gross_margins = fundamentals.loc["GROSSMARGIN"]
asset_turnovers = fundamentals.loc["ASSETTURNOVER"]
# Step 2: many Piotroski F-score components compare current to previous
# values, so get DataFrames of previous values
# Step 2.a: get a boolean mask of the first day of each newly reported fiscal
# period
fundamentals = get_sharadar_fundamentals_reindexed_like(
closes,
dimension="ART", # As-reported trailing twelve month reports
fields=["REPORTPERIOD"])
fiscal_periods = fundamentals.loc["REPORTPERIOD"]
are_new_fiscal_periods = fiscal_periods != fiscal_periods.shift()
# Step 2.b: shift the ROAs forward one fiscal period by (1) shifting the ratios one day,
# (2) keeping only the ones that fall on the first day of the newly reported
# fiscal period, and (3) forward-filling
previous_return_on_assets = return_on_assets.shift().where(are_new_fiscal_periods).fillna(method="ffill")
# Step 2.c: Repeat for other indicators
previous_leverages = leverages.shift().where(are_new_fiscal_periods).fillna(method="ffill")
previous_current_ratios = current_ratios.shift().where(are_new_fiscal_periods).fillna(method="ffill")
previous_shares_out = shares_out.shift().where(are_new_fiscal_periods).fillna(method="ffill")
previous_gross_margins = gross_margins.shift().where(are_new_fiscal_periods).fillna(method="ffill")
previous_asset_turnovers = asset_turnovers.shift().where(are_new_fiscal_periods).fillna(method="ffill")
# Step 3: calculate F-Score components; each resulting component is a DataFrame
# of booleans
have_positive_return_on_assets = return_on_assets > 0
have_positive_operating_cash_flows = operating_cash_flows > 0
have_increasing_return_on_assets = return_on_assets > previous_return_on_assets
have_more_cash_flow_than_incomes = operating_cash_flows / total_assets > return_on_assets
have_decreasing_leverages = leverages < previous_leverages
have_increasing_current_ratios = current_ratios > previous_current_ratios
have_no_new_shares = shares_out <= previous_shares_out
have_increasing_gross_margins = gross_margins > previous_gross_margins
have_increasing_asset_turnovers = asset_turnovers > previous_asset_turnovers
# Step 4: convert the booleans to integers and sum to get F-Score (0-9)
f_scores = (
have_positive_return_on_assets.astype(int)
+ have_positive_operating_cash_flows.astype(int)
+ have_increasing_return_on_assets.astype(int)
+ have_more_cash_flow_than_incomes.astype(int)
+ have_decreasing_leverages.astype(int)
+ have_increasing_current_ratios.astype(int)
+ have_no_new_shares.astype(int)
+ have_increasing_gross_margins.astype(int)
+ have_increasing_asset_turnovers.astype(int)
)
self.save_to_results("FScore", f_scores)
return f_scores
def signals_to_target_weights(self, signals: pd.DataFrame, prices: pd.DataFrame):
# Step 4: equal weights
daily_signal_counts = signals.abs().sum(axis=1)
weights = signals.div(daily_signal_counts, axis=0).fillna(0)
# Step 5: Rebalance quarterly
# Resample daily to quarterly, taking the last day's signal
# For pandas offset aliases, see https://pandas.pydata.org/pandas-docs/stable/user_guide/timeseries.html#offset-aliases
weights = weights.resample(self.REBALANCE_INTERVAL).last()
# Reindex back to daily and fill forward
weights = weights.reindex(prices.loc["Close"].index, method="ffill")
return weights
def target_weights_to_positions(self, weights: pd.DataFrame, prices: pd.DataFrame):
# Enter the position the day after the signal
return weights.shift()
def positions_to_gross_returns(self, positions: pd.DataFrame, prices: pd.DataFrame):
closes = prices.loc["Close"]
position_ends = positions.shift()
# The return is the security's percent change over the period,
# multiplied by the position.
gross_returns = closes.pct_change() * position_ends
return gross_returns
```출처의 라이선스에 따라 출처를 표시하고 전문을 공개합니다. 라이선스: Apache-2.0
이 요약은 원문을 바탕으로 Stratmill의 리서치 에이전트가 작성했으며, 원문을 복사한 것이 아닙니다.