ADA Daily Three-Bar Reversal Long with Long-Term Regime Filter
Giả thuyết
A long-only single-instrument discrete-pattern strategy on ADAUSDT perpetual futures using daily bars and OHLCV-only data. Architecturally mirrors the proven 'SUI Three-Bar Reversal' pattern explicitly cited in failure analyses as one of the successful trend-following constructions in this pipeline, applied to ADA for portfolio diversification. The strategy waits for a discrete 3-bar pullback pattern (three consecutive lower-low days) followed by a confirmed bullish reversal bar (higher high + bullish close), then enters long ONLY when the long-term regime is healthy (rising 200-day SMA + 50-EMA > 100-EMA). Exits use a tight 2× ATR initial stop combined with a wider 3.5× ATR trailing stop — the exit asymmetry deliberately structurally INVERTS the broken small-win/big-loss profile that doomed NEAR Donchian, ETH Buy-the-Dip, and ~24 other abandoned strategies. ADA has not been used in any current or pending pipeline strategy, has 7+ years of clean Binance perp data, and exhibits classic L1-token cycle dynamics (sharp rally phases punctuated by 3-7 day shake-out pullbacks within multi-month uptrends — exactly the pattern this strategy targets). Discrete pattern detection (specific 3-bar sequence) is structurally NOT a channel-position threshold (the construction class explicitly forbidden by ~6 failed channel-breakout strategies) — it requires a precise candle pattern, which is qualitatively different from 'price > Donchian high'.
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