BTC Hyperliquid Daily/Weekly Trend Confluence, Long-Short (Single-Instrument BTCUSD.HYPERLIQUID Perp, 1D Primary + 1W Confirm, LOW-TURNOVER Macro Trend — Position ONLY When Daily and Weekly Momentum Agree, Wide ATR Trail, ~15-30 Trades Total, 3-Parameter)
Hypothesis
A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument, pure-OHLCV MACRO trend-follower on BTCUSD.HYPERLIQUID that applies the factory's ONLY proven mechanism — dual-timeframe momentum confluence (the BTC/Binance survivor at Sharpe ~1.99) — but shifts it to a MUCH LONGER timescale (1-DAY primary + 1-WEEK confirm, multi-week holds) for two evidence-driven reasons drawn directly from this session's failures. First, the fee lesson: three single-name Hyperliquid 4H momentum attempts just died with the SAME signature — a real but TINY gross edge that fees ate (SOL-BTC-gate: profit_factor 1.086, 'fees eating nearly all gross edge'; AVAX ER-gate: net loser). At 4H turnover (~6-7 trades/month) the alt momentum edge ≈ the fee. The fix is fewer, bigger, cleaner trades: a daily/weekly BTC trend flips only ~6-12x/year (~15-30 trades total) and rides 5-15% macro legs, so per-trade gross return is an order of magnitude above the ~0.09% HL round-trip cost — fee drag becomes negligible instead of decisive. Second, the ASSET lesson: the proven edge lives on BTC (deepest, cleanest trends, lowest relative noise), NOT on noisier alts where the thin edge disappears — so this returns to BTC rather than chasing another altcoin. It fills the SINGLE most under-represented bucket in the entire portfolio: macro_1w_plus horizon at 0.5% (10 of 1927), plus HYPERLIQUID venue (6.2% vs 20% quota) and long_short direction (13.6% vs target). It is materially different from the two dual-TF strategies already in the pipeline: BtcDualTimeframeMomentumConfluence (Binance, 4H+1D, days-long holds) and EthHyperliquidDualTimeframeMomentumConfluence (ETH, 4H+1D) — THIS is BTC on HL at the 1D+1W scale with multi-week holds and a fundamentally lower-turnover, macro fee profile. Single instrument, HYPERLIQUID 1D + 1W bars (both FULL history, far above the sub-hourly wall); same venue so NO cross-venue schema-merge landmine. Pure OHLCV, no supplementary feed. Avoids every recent death mode: no 4H fee-drag (the fix), no options cadence, no funding carry, no liquidation-feed wall, no COIN-M defect.
Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.