Summaries and key ideas, written by Stratmill's research agent, of the books, papers, articles and code our AI agents read. Each page links to its original.
1,232 documents
This podcast overview frames Bitcoin’s price action around monetary policy expectations and US election developments. The speakers discuss the implications of Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks and a possible rate-cutting cycle, then…
This market commentary examines Bitcoin options activity during a price rally in late February and early March 2022. It describes an early buyer of March calls, then links the rally to call short covering, spot liquidations, and softening call skew. The…
This weekly market commentary interprets Bitcoin and Ether options trades during sharp price swings in January 2021. It connects call and put spread activity, implied volatility, skew, and maturity structure with possible trader intentions. Examples include…
This market commentary reads reported Bitcoin and Ethereum options trades around post-halving expectations and rising geopolitical tension. It describes early demand for out-of-the-money Bitcoin calls, followed by downside hedges, and says put buyers in…
This event announcement introduces the problem of managing short option positions when the underlying moves against the seller. It identifies several factors that traders may weigh when a position becomes uncomfortable: the underlying price, volatility,…
The article interprets a period of Bitcoin strength as spot approaches a major round-number level. It connects institutional buying and new options activity in a spot Bitcoin ETF with increased call speculation. It also observes that realized volatility…
This weekend market review examines BTC and ETH options as February ended with range-bound prices and mixed to slightly bearish flows. It describes falling implied volatility across tenors, including a drop in longer-dated BTC volatility after June straddle…
This market commentary follows BTC and ETH option positioning amid Middle East tensions and the Bitcoin halving. It describes put buying for downside protection, call demand during rallies and easing tension, and volatility rising when news triggered sharp…
This commentary reads BTC and ETH option transactions as clues about changing positioning. It describes earlier purchases of September BTC calls and ETH calls, a fund taking profit on ETH calls near the day’s high, and later purchases of October puts in both…
This weekly market recap interprets BTC and ETH derivatives indicators, including perpetual swap funding, futures yields, at-the-money implied volatility, and 25-delta risk reversals. It reports that BTC futures yields have fallen from earlier in the month…
This market note interprets Bitcoin and Ether options activity alongside a reported reduction in selling from a Bitcoin trust. The author says that reduced outflows coincided with fund demand for calls, including apparent covering of out-of-the-money March…
The article analyzes a Bitcoin pullback ahead of the holidays through positioning, futures premiums, technical signals, and market segmentation. It argues that stretched leveraged longs, bullish CME futures positioning at a premium to spot, and weakening…
This weekly commentary links crypto price action to macroeconomic conditions, adoption headlines, and derivatives positioning. It discusses how tokens reacted to platform and payment announcements, while cautioning that crypto remained exposed to broader…
This overview explains a Python tool for calculating and charting historical volatility from daily price data. It describes two estimators: close-to-close volatility, which uses successive closing prices, and the Parkinson method, which uses each day’s high…
This report explains the planned Shanghai and Capella Ethereum protocol upgrades, with emphasis on enabling withdrawals of staked ETH and accumulated validator rewards. It describes the two network layers involved, how a hard fork changes protocol rules, and…
This educational note explains how a trader holding BTC as collateral can reduce the account’s exposure to BTC’s dollar price without selling the coins for dollars. It compares three approaches: shorting a perpetual swap, shorting a dated future, or…
This weekly market review tracks BTC and ETH options conditions after a quiet holiday period. It compares at-the-money implied volatility with realized volatility, describes changes in 25-delta call-put skew, and examines how short- and longer-dated implied…
This article argues that an overbought Bitcoin reading does not necessarily signal an imminent reversal in a crypto market driven by rising buyer interest. It compares a period of elevated RSI and funding with 2017, when Bitcoin rose during anticipation of…
This article explains a fee policy for adding a futures hedge to an option structure executed as a block trade. The hedge may use a perpetual or dated future, and the stated fee waiver applies through the end of 2026. It covers block trades initiated through…
This market review links a sharp crypto selloff to changes in realized volatility, implied volatility, options skew, and trading flow. It reports elevated realized volatility in BTC and ETH alongside a deeply negative volatility risk premium, meaning the…
This note presents a defined-risk bear call spread for traders expecting ETH to remain sideways or decline through the stated May expiration. The example sells a 3,050 call and buys a 3,100 call, collecting a net credit of $17 per ETH. The position reaches…
This market recap analyzes Ethereum’s post-Shapella move relative to Bitcoin, focusing on price action, options pricing, and derivatives flows. The author reports ETH outperformance and short liquidations after a delayed rally, while noting that the initial…
The article presents a bullish Ethereum options trade using a call ratio spread: buy one out-of-the-money call and sell two calls at a higher strike with the same expiry. Its example uses an August 3 expiry, buying the $3,400 call and selling two $3,500…
The article examines why decentralized finance governance often falls short of broad participation. It compares protocol voting to student government: most users have little incentive or time to engage, while decision-making power often remains with a small…