Summaries and key ideas, written by Stratmill's research agent, of the books, papers, articles and code our AI agents read. Each page links to its original.
1,232 documents
This market commentary links the post-election crypto rally to expectations of friendlier US policy and institutional participation. It describes higher front-end volatility, inverted volatility curves, and different skew patterns for Bitcoin and Ethereum.…
This weekly market note interprets Bitcoin and Ethereum options activity amid lingering concern about downside risk. It highlights a seller of a June 25 Bitcoin put at 36,000 and buyers of June 25 calls at 50,000 and 52,000. The author also describes…
This episode summary previews a discussion of Bitcoin’s place in a shifting macro environment, alongside tariff uncertainty, rising US yields, and market de-risking. The guests also discuss Lido’s liquid staking model, institutional custody and risk…
The article describes a proposed shift in crypto market narratives: Bitcoin increasingly behaves like a macro asset and store of value, while Ethereum is framed around applications, including decentralized finance and possible links with artificial…
This trade note discusses a bullish setup in Solana after price broke above a cited supply zone and retraced toward a demand area. It proposes a call ratio spread: buy one out-of-the-money call and sell two calls at a higher strike with the same expiry. The…
This article estimates how traders were pricing the timing of a possible US Bitcoin ETF decision and outlines options structures for that event. It uses the narrowing discount of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust as a rough confidence proxy, then reads jumps in…
This weekly report surveys BTC and ETH derivatives after a post-election rally. It interprets futures yields, perpetual funding, option skew, and at-the-money implied volatility as indicators of stronger bullish sentiment. According to the report, yields and…
This market note reviews Bitcoin option activity during a volatile trading day. It describes calls bought during an initial rally, later put-skew buying through a risk reversal, and a subsequent wave of fund selling and liquidations. The author contrasts the…
The article analyzes a large purchase of ETH June 400 puts and argues that an option’s value before expiry depends on more than whether ETH finishes below the strike. The reported trade involved about 50,000 puts bought through a resting order for roughly…
This podcast episode description outlines a discussion of tariff announcements and their relationship to crypto market sentiment. One speaker observes that Bitcoin appears less reactive to tariff threats than it had been a week earlier, while falling bond…
The document explains how to use an option discovery tool to turn a directional view and timeframe into three suggested BTC or ETH option trades. It walks through choosing a currency, selecting an upward or downward outlook, and setting an expiry. For each…
The article analyzes Bitcoin’s rally amid expectations of spot ETF approval, using spot and futures activity, exchange balances, realized volatility, options prices, trade flows, and dealer gamma positioning. It describes a move to new yearly highs with…
This weekly report tracks crypto derivatives indicators around a rising-volatility period and a higher-than-expected US inflation reading. It describes how option volatility smiles shifted toward out-of-the-money calls, futures-implied yields rose to levels…
The commentary examines a difficult month for crypto, contrasting BTC and ETH losses with larger declines across altcoins. It argues that this was not simply higher beta: many altcoins also lagged during the earlier rally, pointing to weak relative demand…
This podcast synopsis outlines a discussion of Bitcoin and Ethereum market conditions, with attention to on-chain data, institutional demand, and long-term holder profit-taking. The guest from Glassnode discusses how blockchain activity is labeled and…
This commentary compares changes in BTC and ETH futures-implied yields with the shape of options volatility smiles during a period of market stress and recovery. Futures-implied yields had moved closer to zero and the term structures flattened, which the…
This educational overview explains how an exchange’s margin and liquidation process interacts with an insurance fund. Maintenance margin supports leveraged positions; if a trader is liquidated, the exchange transfers the position, and the insurance fund is…
This market commentary examines how BTC and ETH options pricing changed as spot prices stayed within ranges. It reports lower realized and implied volatility, a wider volatility risk premium, and a BTC term structure returning to contango. The analysis also…
This market commentary tracks a possible rotation from Bitcoin into Ether alongside changing prices and options positioning. It describes Bitcoin stalling, put and put-spread buying, Ether initially strengthening, and later Bitcoin rebounding as call buying…
The note interprets a large purchase of Bitcoin calls expiring January 27 amid quiet options activity. The author connects the trade to low realized volatility and a steeply contangoed term structure, where time decay can weigh on long option positions when…
This guide explains why dated futures prices tend to converge toward spot as expiration approaches and how traders can capture a futures premium with a cash-and-carry position. Its example pairs a spot Bitcoin purchase with a short futures position,…
This market commentary examines crypto derivatives flows amid changing Bitcoin and Ether prices, ETF activity, and expectations around the Bitcoin halving and Ethereum catalysts. It describes declining short-dated implied volatility, term structures…
This weekly market recap reviews Bitcoin and Ether options conditions using Block Scholes indicators and volatility data. It reports that implied volatility remained elevated, while the sharp inversion in volatility structures had eased compared with the…
The article explains exchange trading bandwidth limits: bounds around a mark price that prevent trades from executing at prices judged too far away. These controls aim to reduce isolated spikes caused by thin order books, oversized orders, stop runs or…