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A Rebound Screen Using Intraday Drawdown, Pre-Open Return, and Position Changes

Article SuperMind

Summary

This stock-selection idea looks for shares with a position-increase ratio above 5%, a maximum daily decline between 4% and 5% in magnitude, and a 9:25 a.m. gain below 6%. The explanation treats increased positions as a sign of capital inflow and the bounded decline as a modest pullback that might precede a rebound; the pre-open condition is framed as a way to identify stocks whose opening indication is comparatively subdued. The document does not define the position metric or clarify whether the decline thresholds use percentage points or another convention.

It cautions that a potential rebound is not assured and that the screen may miss stocks already in an uptrend. The article proposes adding valuation, earnings stability, and industry growth filters. Its example code does not consistently implement the stated thresholds: it uses a single cutoff for the decline and different decimal-form conditions for the other ratios. No historical test or outcome evidence is supplied, so the rebound premise remains unvalidated.

Key ideas

  • The screen combines a position-increase ratio above 5%, a bounded daily maximum decline, and a 9:25 a.m. gain below 6%.
  • The pullback is interpreted as a possible rebound setup, not a confirmed reversal.
  • The article warns that the conditions cannot ensure a rebound and may exclude ongoing uptrends.
  • Valuation, earnings stability, and industry prospects are suggested as added filters.
  • The sample implementation does not fully match the written thresholds, and no performance test is reported.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.