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Approximating a Near-Expiry Binary Option with a Call Spread

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Nick Wilton

Summary

The document explains why delta hedging a cash-or-nothing binary option becomes impractical near expiry. Under the stated lognormal pricing model, the option value is discounted and proportional to the cumulative normal probability of the terminal price finishing above the strike. Its delta grows sharply as time to maturity shrinks, concentrating around the strike.

It proposes approximating the binary payoff with a narrow call spread: buy a call struck just below the binary strike and sell a call at the binary strike, then scale the spread by the strike spacing. The resulting delta is the difference between the two call deltas divided by that spacing, and the response states it remains finite as expiry approaches. This is a mathematical approximation, not an exact replication of the discontinuous binary payoff; its accuracy depends on the spread width and the underlying pricing assumptions.

Key ideas

  • A binary option's delta becomes concentrated and grows near the strike as expiry approaches.
  • A narrow call spread can approximate the binary payoff at maturity.
  • The spread's delta is the difference between the component call deltas, scaled by strike spacing.
  • The approximation does not exactly reproduce the binary payoff.

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Full text
# Hedging a binary option close to expiry


# Hedging a binary option close to expiry












I have been asked to prove mathematically that a binary option close to maturity should be hedged using a call spread with the same maturity.

I understand that far from maturity, one would use delta hedging to sell or purchase the underlying asset. Yet as time to expiry tends to zero the delta profile tends towards a dirac delta function and so renders the hedge impractical. See: delta of a binary option

Other than calculus to derive delta, are there any other rigorous ways to construct hedges of this kind?

As this is a homework question, hints rather than full answers are most welcome.

Thanks in advance,

## Answer by Gordon (score 3, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/32769

The key point here is that when close to maturity a binary option should be hedged with a call spread.

Note that, for a binary option with a payoff at maturity $T$ of the form $\mathbb{1}_{S_T>K}$, the value at time $0\le t < T$ is given by $$e^{-r(T-t)}N(d_2), $$ where $$d_2 = \frac{\ln \frac{S_t}{K}+(r-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)(T-t)}{\sigma\sqrt{T-t}}.$$ Since \begin{align*} \frac{\partial N(d_2)}{\partial S_t} = \frac{\phi(d_2)}{\sigma S_t \sqrt{T-t}}\rightarrow \infty, \end{align*} as $t\rightarrow T$, the delta based hedging is not applicable.

However, with a call spread approximation of the form \begin{align*} \mathbb{1}_{S_T>K} \approx \frac{1}{\varepsilon}\Big[\big(S_T-(K-\varepsilon)\big)^+ - \big(S_T-K\big)^+\Big]. \end{align*} The delta at time $0\le t < T$ is given by $$\frac{1}{\varepsilon}\big[N(d_1^{-\varepsilon})-N(d_1^0)\big], $$ which is finite as $t\rightarrow T$. Here, \begin{align*} d_1^{\alpha} = \frac{\ln \frac{S_t}{K+\alpha}+(r+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)(T-t)}{\sigma\sqrt{T-t}}. \end{align*}

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.