Arbitrage from Short Sale Collateral and Forward Pricing
Summary
The document constructs an arbitrage involving a short stock position, interest-bearing short-sale collateral, a money-market investment, and a forward contract. The setup assumes a continuously compounded financing rate, a collateral fraction of the spot value, a separate collateral yield, and a one-year forward price. It explains how to short one unit, post the required deposit, invest the remaining proceeds, and buy the stock forward to cover the short at delivery.
At maturity, the portfolio has no stock exposure and its cash balance is deterministic. The proposed inequality is precisely the condition under which that balance is positive, yielding the arbitrage. The explanation also cautions that failure of the condition does not establish an arbitrage in the reverse direction: the terms for borrowing or holding stock need not mirror the special interest paid on short collateral. The result depends on the assumed ability to transact at the stated rates and prices, without additional costs or constraints.
Key ideas
- Short one unit of the underlying and post the required fraction of the proceeds as collateral.
- Invest the remaining short-sale proceeds at the continuously compounded market rate.
- Use a forward contract to cover the short position at the delivery date without an upfront payment.
- The strategy is an arbitrage when the certain maturity cash balance is positive.
- A failed condition does not imply reverse arbitrage when long and short financing terms differ.
Tags
Full text
# Prove arbitrage opportunity
# Prove arbitrage opportunity
The continuously compounded interest rate is $r$. The current price of the underlying asset is $S(0)$ and the forward price with delivery time in 1 year is $F(0,1)$. Short selling of the stock requires a security deposit in the amount of $fS(0)$ for some $f \in (0,1)$. Assume that the security deposit incurs an interest $d$ that is compounded continuously. Prove there is an arbitrage opportunity if the following is satisfied.
$$ d > ln(e^r - \frac{e^rS(0)-F(0,1)}{fS(0)}) $$ My intuition is to simplify this inequality somehow to reflect a necessary and sufficient condition for an arbitrage opportunity. To do this, I think I need to set some of the quantities to the boundaries of their domains, but I don't know what they are.
I only know for sure $fS(0) \in (0,1)$ (please let me know if this is wrong!) can I assume $r >= 0$ and/or $d >= 0$?
Any other ideas on how to approach this problem?
## Answer by jwg (score 5, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/24675
Suppose that the given condition is true. You want to construct an arbitrage portfolio to take advantage of this. Now, $d$ is an interest rate, and the condition suggests that $d$ is too high. So you will want to receive $d$ in order to profit.
If you could, you would borrow money at $r$ and lend it to the stock broker or exchange to collect the interest rate differential (assuming that $d > r$). But you can't just lend money at $d$, it is available only to someone shorting the stock. So let us build the simplest portfolio which allows us to be paid that rate of interest.
Short one unit of stock, obtaining $S(0)$ in cash. Of that cash, exactly $fS(0)$ has to be lent to the broker as a deposit. The rest, $(1-f)S(0)$, gets put in the money market account at interest rate $r$. So far, the portfolio is self-funding until time $t=1$. At that point we will be short one stock and have $$ e^d fS(0) + e^r (1-f)S(0)$$ in cash. Now, we don't want the short stock position, so we should buy that stock forward immediately. This doesn't change the self-funding nature since no cash is paid upfront for a forward sale. Now, at $t=1$ we will be flat the stock and have $$ e^d fS(0) + e^r (1-f)S(0) - F(0,1) $$ cash (with certainty).
This is positive exactly when $$ e^d fS(0) > F(0,1) - e^r (1-f)S(0) $$ or when $$ d > \log\left(\frac{F(0,1) - e^r (1-f)S(0)}{fS(0)} \right)$$ which simplifies to your inequality.
Note that if it is negative, there is not necessarily an arbitrage by taking the exact opposite portfolio, since presumably buying the stock doesn't mean that you are lent money at the same rate of interest which shorts receive on their deposit.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.