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ATR Fibonacci Grid Entries Filtered by Moving-Average Trend

Article Strategy library · Author: ChaoZhang

Summary

This strategy builds price bands around a moving average using ATR distances scaled by several Fibonacci ratios. A fast EMA and slow SMA define the broader direction. In an upward regime, the rules seek long entries when price crosses below one of the lower bands, with additional trend filters; in a downward regime, they seek shorts on crosses above upper bands. Reversal candle patterns or moving-average crosses are used to close positions.

The document supplies example parameters and published BTC/USDT futures backtest settings, but no performance results. It argues that directional filtering and multiple entry bands may help structure trades, while warning that a mistaken trend classification, rapid moves through the bands, and subjective reversal-based exits can undermine the approach. The written description calls the bands a grid and refers to Bollinger Bands, though the provided construction uses a simple average plus or minus ATR multiples. Proposed volatility adjustment and additional indicators are suggestions, not demonstrated improvements.

Key ideas

  • ATR multiples of Fibonacci ratios define several bands around a simple moving average.
  • A fast EMA relative to a slow SMA determines whether the strategy favors long or short entries.
  • Long entries are associated with lower-band crosses in an upward regime, while short entries use upper-band crosses in a downward regime.
  • Reversal candle patterns and moving-average crosses are used as exit conditions.
  • The document provides example backtest settings but reports no performance evidence, and it flags trend and exit-rule uncertainty.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.