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Attributing Option Vega P&L to Moneyness, Time, and Surface Changes

Article Quant Q&A · Author: gjy

Summary

The document explains why bucket Vega multiplied by changes in fixed volatility-surface points can miss P&L when spot moves options to different moneyness levels. Under a sticky-delta interpretation, an option may experience a volatility change from moving along a skewed surface even when the surface itself is unchanged. The example is an at-the-money call that becomes out of the money as spot changes and therefore maps to a lower implied volatility on the static surface.

For attribution, compare implied volatilities across combinations of the old and new surface, moneyness, and time to expiration. Multiply the resulting volatility differences by the initial parallel-shift Vega to estimate their P&L contributions. The document also notes that practitioners may index volatility by absolute strike or relative moneyness, and suggests examining which assumption better matches observed market behavior. These estimates may not fit neatly into an additive P&L decomposition, and the proposed approach is an approximation rather than a complete accounting method.

Key ideas

  • A static volatility surface can still produce volatility P&L when spot moves an option to a different moneyness point.
  • A fixed-grid bucket Vega calculation can miss this movement along a skewed surface.
  • Separate volatility changes associated with the surface, moneyness, and time to expiration by comparing combinations of their old and new values.
  • Use initial parallel-shift Vega to estimate the P&L contribution of each implied volatility difference.
  • The choice between strike and relative-moneyness coordinates affects how the attribution is presented.

Tags

Full text
# How to quantify Vega PNL from volatility moving along a steep moneyness surface when bucket Vega shows zero?


# How to quantify Vega PNL from volatility moving along a steep moneyness surface when bucket Vega shows zero?












Based on this answer:

Question: When the implied volatility surface remains identical over two consecutive days, my current Vega P&L calculation yields zero. However, market movements cause options' effective volatility to shift along the surface—particularly impactful with steep volatility skew. How should we properly quantify this P&L component?

Current methodology:

- Discretized volatility surface at $t$: $\sigma_{ij}^t$ (moneyness $i$, term $j$)

- $\Delta \sigma_{ij} \equiv \sigma_{ij}^{t+1} - \sigma_{ij}^{t}$ (matrix subtraction)

- Bucket Vega calculation: $\small\text{BucketVega}_{ij} = \left[PV(\sigma_{ij} + 0.01) - PV(\sigma_{ij})\right] \times 100$

- Vega P&L $= \sum_i \sum_j \left( \text{BucketVega}_{ij} \times \Delta \sigma_{ij} \right)$

Conflict under sticky delta:

- Spot moves shift options to new moneyness coordinates → effective IV changes due to skew

- Identical surfaces give $\Delta \sigma_{ij} = 0$ → skew-induced P&L vanishes! (Example: ATM call becomes OTM and "slides" to lower vol point on static surface)

Required quantification: How to capture P&L from:

- Movement along static surface (skew effect)

- Time-decay (roll-down $\partial\sigma/\partial\tau$)

- True surface shape changes

## Answer by Dimitri Vulis (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/83661

Right, the P&L explain suggested in the answer you cited, doesn't show clearly how much P&L is attributable from the change in moneyness.

"Most people" use something along these lines, supplemented with whatever they want to see in addition. So you might add something like: Let $\sigma_{t,{T_E-t},m}$ denote the implied volatility for moneyness $m$. At time $T_0$, the moneyness was $m_0$, and the IV was $\sigma_{0,{T_E-T_0},m_0}$. At time $T_1$, the moneyness became $m_1$, and the IV changed to $\sigma_{1,{T_E-T_1},m_1}$.

(Some people prefer absolute strike levels as an axis of the vol surface as @Quantuple suggests, others prefer relative moneyness. Please see any sticky strike v sticky delta debate, e.g. Sticky delta vs sticky strike . You may want to explore empirically whether, for a large change in your underlyings prices, your IV changes less, assuming the strikes remain unchanged, or the moneyness remains unchanged.)

Attribute the IV changes to using the new vol surface, and to the change in moneyness, and to change in the time to expiration. Depending on how deeply you want to dive, you can look at the differences between the various combinations of IVs $\sigma_{0,{T_E-T_1},m_1}$, $\sigma_{1,{T_E-T_0},m_0}$, $\sigma_{0,{T_E-T_0},m_1}$, $\sigma_{1,{T_E-T_1},m_0}$... Multiply each IV change by the (parallel shift) vega at $T_0$ to estimate the P&L impact. I'm not sure whether you can easily include this analysis in the P&L disaggregation, such that all the components add up to the P&L, or need to make it separate.

Using absolute strikes to index the vol surface might hide the P&L impact of the change in moneyness, but wouldn't actually make it disappear.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.