Awesome Oscillator and MACD Crossover Backtest Comparison
Summary
This script compares two moving-average momentum strategies. Its MACD variant uses exponential averages of closing prices, while its Awesome Oscillator uses simple averages of the high-low midpoint. Both use short and long averages, with the Awesome Oscillator also recognizing saucer patterns and suppressing some repeated signals through a cumulative-position rule.
The example plots signals and oscillator values, then estimates portfolio values, returns, Sharpe ratios, and maximum drawdowns. Its stated observations are that MACD produced a higher Sharpe ratio and more profit with fewer trades in the author's tests, while showing a larger maximum drawdown; which strategy suits a trader depends on risk tolerance. These findings are not accompanied by market, date, or numerical performance details. The portfolio model uses fixed share quantities and simplified cash accounting, and the script does not describe transaction costs or other execution assumptions, so the comparison is illustrative rather than conclusive.
Key ideas
- The Awesome Oscillator compares short and long simple averages of the high-low midpoint.
- The MACD comparison uses exponential averages of closing prices.
- Awesome Oscillator signals include saucer patterns as well as moving-average direction rules.
- The example compares portfolio value, Sharpe ratio, and maximum drawdown.
- The author reports a return and trade-count advantage for MACD alongside greater drawdown in their tests.
Tags
Full text
# Awesome Oscillator backtest
# Awesome Oscillator backtest
## Source (Apache-2.0)
```python
# coding: utf-8
#details of awesome oscillator can be found here
# https://www.tradingview.com/wiki/Awesome_Oscillator_(AO)
#basically i use awesome oscillator to compare with macd oscillator
#lets see which one makes more money
#there is not much difference between two of em
#this time i use exponential smoothing on macd
#for awesome oscillator, i use simple moving average instead
#the rules are quite simple
#these two are momentum trading strategy
#they compare the short moving average with long moving average
#if the difference is positive
#we long the asset, vice versa
#awesome oscillator has slightly more conditions for signals
#we will see about it later
#for more details about macd
# https://github.com/je-suis-tm/quant-trading/blob/master/MACD%20oscillator%20backtest.py
# In[1]:
#need to get fix yahoo finance package first
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import fix_yahoo_finance as yf
# In[2]:
#this part is macd
#i will not go into details as i have another session called macd
#the only difference is that i use ewma function to apply exponential smoothing technique
def ewmacd(signals,ma1,ma2):
signals['macd ma1']=signals['Close'].ewm(span=ma1).mean()
signals['macd ma2']=signals['Close'].ewm(span=ma2).mean()
return signals
def signal_generation(df,method,ma1,ma2):
signals=method(df,ma1,ma2)
signals['macd positions']=0
signals['macd positions'][ma1:]=np.where(signals['macd ma1'][ma1:]>=signals['macd ma2'][ma1:],1,0)
signals['macd signals']=signals['macd positions'].diff()
signals['macd oscillator']=signals['macd ma1']-signals['macd ma2']
return signals
# In[3]:
#for awesome oscillator
#moving average is based on the mean of high and low instead of close price
def awesome_ma(signals):
signals['awesome ma1'],signals['awesome ma2']=0,0
signals['awesome ma1']=((signals['High']+signals['Low'])/2).rolling(window=5).mean()
signals['awesome ma2']=((signals['High']+signals['Low'])/2).rolling(window=34).mean()
return signals
#awesome signal generation,AWESOME!
def awesome_signal_generation(df,method):
signals=method(df)
signals.reset_index(inplace=True)
signals['awesome signals']=0
signals['awesome oscillator']=signals['awesome ma1']-signals['awesome ma2']
signals['cumsum']=0
for i in range(2,len(signals)):
#awesome oscillator has an extra way to generate signals
#its called saucer
#A Bearish Saucer setup occurs when the AO is below the Zero Line
#in another word, awesome oscillator is negative
#A Bearish Saucer entails two consecutive green bars (with the second bar being higher than the first bar) being followed by a red bar.
#in another word, green bar refers to open price is higher than close price
if (signals['Open'][i]>signals['Close'][i] and
signals['Open'][i-1]<signals['Close'][i-1] and
signals['Open'][i-2]<signals['Close'][i-2] and
signals['awesome oscillator'][i-1]>signals['awesome oscillator'][i-2] and
signals['awesome oscillator'][i-1]<0 and
signals['awesome oscillator'][i]<0):
signals.at[i,'awesome signals']=1
#this is bullish saucer
#vice versa
if (signals['Open'][i]<signals['Close'][i] and
signals['Open'][i-1]>signals['Close'][i-1] and
signals['Open'][i-2]>signals['Close'][i-2] and
signals['awesome oscillator'][i-1]<signals['awesome oscillator'][i-2] and
signals['awesome oscillator'][i-1]>0 and
signals['awesome oscillator'][i]>0):
signals.at[i,'awesome signals']=-1
#this part is the same as macd signal generation
#nevertheless, we have extra rules to get signals ahead of moving average
#if we get signals before moving average generate any signal
#we will ignore signals generated by moving average then
#as it is delayed and probably deliver fewer profit than previous signals
#we use cumulated sum to see if there has been created any open positions
#if so, we will take a pass
if signals['awesome ma1'][i]>signals['awesome ma2'][i]:
signals.at[i,'awesome signals']=1
signals['cumsum']=signals['awesome signals'].cumsum()
if signals['cumsum'][i]>1:
signals.at[i,'awesome signals']=0
if signals['awesome ma1'][i]<signals['awesome ma2'][i]:
signals.at[i,'awesome signals']=-1
signals['cumsum']=signals['awesome signals'].cumsum()
if signals['cumsum'][i]<0:
signals.at[i,'awesome signals']=0
signals['cumsum']=signals['awesome signals'].cumsum()
return signals
# In[4]:
#we plot the results to compare
#basically the same as macd
#im not gonna explain much
def plot(new,ticker):
#positions
fig=plt.figure()
ax=fig.add_subplot(211)
new['Close'].plot(label=ticker)
ax.plot(new.loc[new['awesome signals']==1].index,new['Close'][new['awesome signals']==1],label='AWESOME LONG',lw=0,marker='^',c='g')
ax.plot(new.loc[new['awesome signals']==-1].index,new['Close'][new['awesome signals']==-1],label='AWESOME SHORT',lw=0,marker='v',c='r')
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.grid(True)
plt.title('Positions')
bx=fig.add_subplot(212,sharex=ax)
new['Close'].plot(label=ticker)
bx.plot(new.loc[new['macd signals']==1].index,new['Close'][new['macd signals']==1],label='MACD LONG',lw=0,marker='^',c='g')
bx.plot(new.loc[new['macd signals']==-1].index,new['Close'][new['macd signals']==-1],label='MACD SHORT',lw=0,marker='v',c='r')
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
#oscillator
fig=plt.figure()
cx=fig.add_subplot(211)
c=np.where(new['Open']>new['Close'],'r','g')
cx.bar(range(len(new)),new['awesome oscillator'],color=c,label='awesome oscillator')
plt.grid(True)
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.title('Oscillator')
dx=fig.add_subplot(212,sharex=cx)
new['macd oscillator'].plot(kind='bar',label='macd oscillator')
plt.grid(True)
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.xlabel('')
plt.xticks([])
plt.show()
#moving average
fig=plt.figure()
ex=fig.add_subplot(211)
new['awesome ma1'].plot(label='awesome ma1')
new['awesome ma2'].plot(label='awesome ma2',linestyle=':')
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.grid(True)
plt.xticks([])
plt.xlabel('')
plt.title('Moving Average')
fig=plt.figure()
fx=fig.add_subplot(212,sharex=bx)
new['macd ma1'].plot(label='macd ma1')
new['macd ma2'].plot(label='macd ma2',linestyle=':')
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.grid(True)
plt.show()
# In[5]:
#normally i dont include backtesting stats
#for the comparison, i am willing to make an exception
#capital0 is intial capital
#positions defines how much shares we buy for every single trade
def portfolio(signals):
capital0=5000
positions=100
portfolio=pd.DataFrame()
portfolio['Close']=signals['Close']
#cumsum is used to calculate the change of value while holding shares
portfolio['awesome holding']=signals['cumsum']*portfolio['Close']*positions
portfolio['macd holding']=signals['macd positions']*portfolio['Close']*positions
#basically cash is initial capital minus the profit we make from every trade
#note that we have to use cumulated sum to add every profit into our cash
portfolio['awesome cash']=capital0-(signals['awesome signals']*portfolio['Close']*positions).cumsum()
portfolio['macd cash']=capital0-(signals['macd signals']*portfolio['Close']*positions).cumsum()
portfolio['awesome asset']=portfolio['awesome holding']+portfolio['awesome cash']
portfolio['macd asset']=portfolio['macd holding']+portfolio['macd cash']
portfolio['awesome return']=portfolio['awesome asset'].pct_change()
portfolio['macd return']=portfolio['macd asset'].pct_change()
return portfolio
# In[6]:
#lets plot how two strategies increase our asset value
def profit(portfolio):
gx=plt.figure()
gx.add_subplot(111)
portfolio['awesome asset'].plot()
portfolio['macd asset'].plot()
plt.legend(loc='best')
plt.grid(True)
plt.title('Awesome VS MACD')
plt.show()
# In[7]:
#i use a function to calculate maximum drawdown
#the idea is simple
#for every day, we take the current asset value
#to compare with the previous highest asset value
#we get our daily drawdown
#it is supposed to be negative if it is not the maximum for this period so far
#we implement a temporary variable to store the minimum value
#which is called maximum drawdown
#for each daily drawdown that is smaller than our temporary value
#we update the temp until we finish our traversal
#in the end we return the maximum drawdown
def mdd(series):
temp=0
for i in range(1,len(series)):
if temp>(series[i]/max(series[:i])-1):
temp=(series[i]/max(series[:i])-1)
return temp
def stats(portfolio):
stats=pd.DataFrame([0])
#lets calculate some sharpe ratios
#note that i set risk free return at 0 for simplicity
#alternatively we can use snp500 as a benchmark
stats['awesome sharpe']=(portfolio['awesome asset'].iloc[-1]/5000-1)/np.std(portfolio['awesome return'])
stats['macd sharpe']=(portfolio['macd asset'].iloc[-1]/5000-1)/np.std(portfolio['macd return'])
stats['awesome mdd']=mdd(portfolio['awesome asset'])
stats['macd mdd']=mdd(portfolio['macd asset'])
#ta-da!
print(stats)
# In[8]:
def main():
#awesome oscillator uses 5 lags as short ma
#34 lags as long ma
#for the consistent comparison
#i apply the same to macd oscillator
ma1=5
ma2=34
#downloading
stdate=input('start date in format yyyy-mm-dd:')
eddate=input('end date in format yyyy-mm-dd:')
ticker=input('ticker:')
df=yf.download(ticker,start=stdate,end=eddate)
#slicing the downloaded dataset
#if the dataset is too large
#backtesting plot would look messy
slicer=int(input('slicing:'))
signals=signal_generation(df,ewmacd,ma1,ma2)
sig=awesome_signal_generation(signals,awesome_ma)
new=sig[slicer:]
plot(new,ticker)
portfo=portfolio(sig)
profit(portfo)
stats(portfo)
#from my tests
#macd has demonstrated a higher sharpe ratio
#it executes fewer trades but brings more profits
#however its maximum drawdown is higher than awesome oscillator
#which one is better?
#it depends on your risk averse level
if __name__ == '__main__':
main()
```Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: Apache-2.0
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.