Binary Option Delta Near Expiry at the Strike
Summary
The document explains why the delta of a binary call becomes sharply concentrated around its strike as expiry approaches. Under Black–Scholes, the option value is expressed using the normal cumulative distribution function, and differentiating gives a delta proportional to the normal density divided by spot, volatility, and the square root of time remaining. As expiry nears, the density vanishes away from the strike, while at the strike it remains positive as the time factor in the denominator shrinks.
A second response presents a risk-neutral expectation formulation and interprets the derivative of the binary payoff as a Dirac impulse at the strike, subject to conditions that allow differentiation under the expectation. A short hedging example gives the intuition: a tiny move near the strike can change the payoff abruptly. The limiting argument is conditional on the spot’s position relative to the strike and, beyond Black–Scholes, depends on regularity assumptions about the pricing model.
Key ideas
- In Black–Scholes, binary-call delta is proportional to the normal density evaluated at a standardized distance from the strike.
- As expiry approaches, delta tends to zero when spot is away from the strike and diverges at the strike.
- The derivative of a binary payoff can be represented as a Dirac impulse at the strike.
- The expectation-based derivation requires conditions that permit exchanging differentiation and expectation.
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Full text
# Computation of limit
# Computation of limit
In Delta of binary option, I do not see how to prove that the limit of $\partial C_t/\partial S_t$ is equal to $+\infty$ as $t \rightarrow T$. Can someone help ?
## Answer by LocalVolatility (score 1, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/32155
The value of a bond binary call in the Black-Scholes model is given by
\begin{equation} B_t = e^{-r (T - t)} \mathcal{N} \left( d_- \right), \end{equation}
where
\begin{equation} d_- = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{T - t}} \left( \ln \left( \frac{S_t}{K} \right) + \left( r - \frac{1}{2} \sigma^2 \right) (T - t) \right). \nonumber \end{equation}
The delta is
\begin{equation} \frac{\partial B_t}{\partial S_t} = e^{-r (T - t)} \mathcal{N}' \left( d_- \right) \frac{1}{S_t \sigma \sqrt{T - t}}. \end{equation}
We now want to take the limit as $t \rightarrow T$. First note that
\begin{equation} \lim_{t \rightarrow T} d_- = \begin{cases} -\infty & \text{if } S_t < K\\ 0 & \text{if } S_t = K\\ +\infty & \text{if } S_t > K \end{cases}. \end{equation}
Thus
\begin{equation} \lim_{t \rightarrow T} \mathcal{N}' \left( d_- \right) = \begin{cases} 0 & \text{if } S_t \neq K\\ 1 / \sqrt{2 \pi} & \text{if } S_t = K \end{cases} \end{equation}
and
\begin{equation} \lim_{t \rightarrow T} \frac{\partial B_t}{\partial S_t} = \begin{cases} 0 & \text{if } S_t \neq K\\ +\infty & \text{if } S_t = K \end{cases}. \end{equation}
In the last step we used that the exponential in $\mathcal{N}' \left( d_- \right)$ approaches zero faster than the $1 / \sqrt{T - t}$ approaches plus infinity in the limit when $S_t \neq K$.
## Answer by Quantuple (score 1)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/32163
Alternatively to LocalVolatility's already very nice answer, here's an approach to see that this result does not only hold under the Black-Scholes dynamics.
The $t$-value of a binary call expiring at $T$ can be written as $$ C_t = \Bbb{E}_t^\Bbb{Q} \left[ e^{-r(T-t)} {\bf{1}}\{S_T \geq K \} \right] $$
Its "delta" is defined as $$\Delta = \frac{\partial C_t}{\partial S_t}$$ Under some light conditions (discussed in e.g. Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering, Glasserman, 2004), you can permute the expectation and differential operators to write: \begin{align} \Delta_t &= \frac{\partial}{\partial S_t} \Bbb{E}_t^\Bbb{Q} \left[ e^{-r(T-t)} {\bf{1}}\{S_T \geq K \} \right] \\ &= \Bbb{E}_t^\Bbb{Q} \left[ e^{-r(T-t)} \frac{\partial}{\partial S_t}{\bf{1}}\{S_T \geq K \} \right] \\ &= \Bbb{E}_t^\Bbb{Q} \left[ e^{-r(T-t)} \delta(S_T-K) \frac{\partial S_T}{\partial S_t} \right] \tag{1} \end{align} where we've used the chain rule ($S_T$ functionally depends on $S_t$) and the fact that the derivative of the Heaviside function ${\bf{1}}(x \geq a)$ is a Dirac impulse at $a$, i.e. $\delta(x-a)$.
It should then clear that: $$ \lim_{t \to T} \Delta_t = \delta(S_t-K) $$ hence the result.
## Answer by Janthelme (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/32166
You're short a digital call struck at 100. Your payoff : -\$1 above 100, \$0 below.
1 second before expiry, spot is 99.9999. If its stays there you owe nothing, if it goes a touch higher you owe $1 to the option's buyer.
You need to replicate this payoff via delta hedging : how much of the underlying do you need to hold to generate a \$1 gain, and offset your \$1 loss, when the spot moves from 99.9999 to 100.0?
Answer : a lot of it.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.