Bitcoin Lunar-Phase Signals Combined with Technical Filters and Risk Controls

Summary

This Bitcoin strategy turns the lunar cycle into a phase value based on elapsed time from a reference full moon and a cycle length of about 29.53 days. Values above 0.51 can qualify for longs and values below 0.49 for shorts. The source additionally requires above-average volume, directional OBV, RSI conditions, and MACD alignment. Position size is calculated from account equity and ATR, with trailing exits, percentage stop levels, and a maximum drawdown rule.

The published setup covers BTC/USDT Binance futures from January 2023 to January 2024, using daily strategy bars and hourly base data. The document provides no performance statistics or comparison showing that lunar phase adds predictive value. Its claims about filtering manipulation and stable returns are unsupported by the evidence shown. The source also applies date-year filters that default to 2023, so the configured backtest extends beyond the stated end year; the described controls and actual implementation should be checked before relying on the strategy.

Key ideas

• The strategy computes a lunar phase value from elapsed days since a reference full moon and a roughly 29.53-day cycle.
• Phase thresholds are combined with volume, OBV, RSI, and MACD conditions to qualify entries.
• ATR-based sizing and trailing exits are paired with percentage stop levels and a maximum drawdown rule.
• The backtest configuration names BTC/USDT Binance futures from January 2023 to January 2024, but reports no results.
• The source's default year filter ends at 2023, which does not match the full configured backtest window.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.