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Bond Option Price and Yield Volatility

Article Quant Q&A · Author: DoubleTrouble

Summary

The document distinguishes two meanings of volatility in bond option analysis. Price volatility can mean implied volatility from a Black-style option pricing model using the bond price as the underlying. Yield volatility instead treats bond yield as the underlying variable in a pricing model, and may assume either a lognormal or normal yield distribution. Because bond prices with longer duration can fluctuate more, yield volatility can help compare options on bonds with different maturities or durations.

A separate answer uses the terms for historical, realized variability: annualized standard deviations of observed bond price changes or yield changes. It describes estimating these from a sample and scaling daily estimates to an annual basis. The answers therefore use the same terms for distinct quantities, so context matters. Neither explanation provides a worked option valuation or guidance on selecting a distribution, estimator window, or annualization convention.

Key ideas

  • Price implied volatility uses bond price as the underlying in a Black-style model.
  • Yield implied volatility models bond yield as the underlying, with a specified distribution.
  • Yield volatility can help compare options on bonds whose durations differ.
  • Price and yield volatility may also refer to historical standard deviations rather than option-implied values.
  • Historical daily volatility estimates require an annualization convention.

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Full text
# Price volatility and yield volatility


# Price volatility and yield volatility












This question is a bit confused, but please bear with me. Now and then I see people use the terminology "price volatility" and "yield volatility" in connection with bond options. I understand the concept of implied volatility for equity options, and I know that option prices are often quoted in terms of their implied volatility.

Is this something similar? Take a Bond options for example. Given a market price in e.g. EUR it is possible (analogues to equity options using Black-Scholes) to find an implied volatility (using Black-76). I guess this is the so called price (bond) volatility.

But when it comes to the so called "yield volatility". I cannot understand how these are implied. I have spent some time on Google trying to find a solid source where I can read more about this, but I can't find it.

Thanks in advance for any assistance!

## Answer by dm63 (score 5)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/42073

The price volatility of a bond option is the implied volatility using a Black type model, so it is exactly analogous to an equity option, using the bond price instead of the equity price.

Because long dated bonds have naturally more price volatility than short dated bonds due to the extra duration , using price volatility is not very helpful when comparing the prices of options on different bonds. Hence traders also look at yield volatility, which is the implied lognormal volatility if you price the bond option on a lognormal binomial tree using the bond yield as the underlying variable. One can also calculate the normalized yield volatility in this manner by assuming a normal instead of lognormal distribution for the yield. This calculation can also be done analytically instead of on a tree, by integrating the option payoff as a function of the bond yield , against the assumed pdf of the yield.

## Answer by pbr142 (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/10843

They are not referring to any implied volatility but actual volatility, i.e. statistical standard deviation. The price volatility is the annualized standard deviation of bond price changes and the yield volatility the annualized standard deviation of bond yield changes. These quantities are usually estimated using a historical estimator. If you have n observations of a quantity X with a sample mean of $\bar{x}$ then its standard deviation is estimated as: $$ \hat{\sigma}_x = \left( \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (x_i-\bar{x})^2\right)^{\frac{1}{2}}$$ Most frequently, daily closing price/yield observations are used in which case you have to multiply with $\sqrt{N}$ where N are the number of days per year (depending on the day count convention).

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.