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Buying Near the Close for Next-Session Gap Profits

Article Strategy library · Author: ChaoZhang

Summary

This strategy seeks gains from overnight price gaps by entering near the end of a session and checking for a profitable exit shortly after the next open. It filters entries with a long-term moving average, buying only when price is above that trend measure. If the next-session price exceeds the entry, the position is closed; otherwise it remains open until a later profitable exit or a stop-loss is reached. The document also describes a stop intended to limit downside.

The source provides a BTC futures backtest configuration and trading rules, but no outcome statistics or evidence that the gap effect produced an edge. The accompanying discussion notes that a favorable gap may not occur and that positions can remain trapped or lose value. The schedule and filter are specific to the implementation, and actual trading results may depend on market hours, instrument behavior, execution costs, and stop handling. The text suggests testing other holding periods, symbols, and entry filters.

Key ideas

  • The system enters near the close when price is above a long-term moving average.
  • It attempts to exit after the next open when price is above its entry level.
  • Unprofitable positions may be held for later exit, subject to a stop-loss rule.
  • The strategy relies on overnight gaps and can incur losses or prolonged holding when they do not appear.
  • The document gives no backtest performance metrics.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.