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Calibrating FX Volatility Smiles to Market Strangles

Article Quant Q&A · Author: user6703592

Summary

The document describes calibrating a parametric implied volatility smile from foreign exchange option quotes. The market supplies at-the-money volatility, a delta-based market strangle quote, and a risk reversal. The calibration seeks parameters that pass through the at-the-money point and satisfy the relevant delta and risk-reversal relationships, while matching the market strangle’s price with the price produced by the fitted smile strangle.

The answer stresses that the market strangle and smile strangle can imply different delta strikes; calibration matches their prices rather than requiring identical strikes or volatilities. It warns that a quadratic volatility function in strike can behave poorly in the wings, recommending a log-moneyness parameterization and mentioning simplified SABR or SVI alternatives. The excerpt gives a conceptual workflow but no worked numerical fit, optimizer settings, or evidence comparing model performance, so stability and fit quality still need checking on the data being used.

Key ideas

  • At-the-money volatility, market strangle, and risk reversal are market inputs to the smile calibration.
  • Calibrated parameters should fit the at-the-money quote and satisfy the market quote relationships.
  • The market strangle and fitted smile strangle may use different delta strikes, so calibration matches prices.
  • A polynomial in strike can behave unstably in the wings.
  • Log-moneyness models such as SABR or SVI are suggested as alternatives.

Tags

Full text
# Calibration of parameters of implied vol smile


# Calibration of parameters of implied vol smile












Here is the book Foreign Exchange Option Pricing: A Practitioner’s Guide, p.56 by Clark (2015).

The context is a little bit long. I summery my understanding as follow:

We first assume the form of volatility such as $\sigma(K) = aK^2+bK+c$ (just a example), then what we can obtain from the market is

- market strangle $\sigma_{25-d-ms}$

- risk reversal $\sigma_{25-d-RR}$

here we don't know that ATM voal $\sigma_{ATM}$ and smile strangle $\sigma_{25-d-SS}.$

Then use the following equations and least squares optimiser to obtain the best value of $a,b,c.$

Is it right? What I confused is the original items we obtained from the market. Since sometime we interpolate the vol smile use the sample point 10/25-delta-risk reversal 10/25-delta-butterfly (smile strangle) and ATM vol such five points:

$$\Delta_{Q}\left( -1,K_{25-d-P},T,\sigma_X \left( K_{25-d-P} \right)\right) = -0.25,$$

$$\Delta_{Q}\left( +1,K_{25-d-C},T,\sigma_X \left( K_{25-d-C} \right)\right) = +0.25.$$

Quote volatility curve by five delta

## Answer by BrownianBread (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/42568

The $\sigma_{ATM}$ is given by the market along with the market strangle and risk-reversal, you don't solve for it in the sense you don't know it from the market.

You are trying to find the parametrisation of $\sigma(K)$ such that you fit $\sigma(K_{ATM}) = \sigma_{ATM}$. To clarify the whole routine, you need to find the solutions to $a,b,c$ such that the parametric smile fits through the ATM point as well as respecting equations 3.19 and when you calculate the smile-strangle 3.20 and plug that into the the pricer for a strangle, you obtain the same price as plugging in the vols from the market strangle.

Note that the market strangle will imply a different set of strikes per delta than the smile strangle, that is OK since you are looking to match the prices of the market strangle $V_{MS}(\sigma_{25-d-MS}, \{K_{25-d-MS}\})$ with the the smile strangle $V_{MS}(\sigma_{25-d-SS}, \{K_{25-d-SS}\})$

One final comment, your example parametrisation will give you a lot of trouble, especially in the wings. Typically you want your vol as a function of log-moneyness to avoid blow-ups. A good start would be to try the SABR interpolation formula with $\beta=1$ to simplify the maths and avoid instabilities in the calibration of the skew. Another option is to try Gatheral's SVI model that you can find here: https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.0646

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.