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CAPM, Beta, and the Single-Index Decomposition of Risk

Article Quant Q&A · Author: fe2084

Summary

The document distinguishes the CAPM relation for expected returns from a single-index model for realized returns. It asks whether CAPM alone can support the familiar division between systematic and diversifiable risk, since an expected-return equation does not specify return variances or residual behavior. The response describes a realized-return decomposition into a market-linked component, an intercept, and an error term with zero mean.

Under that decomposition, the market component represents common exposure, while residual variation may diversify across a broad portfolio if residuals are sufficiently independent. Beta describes the sensitivity of an asset or portfolio to market movements. This explanation depends on assumptions beyond the CAPM expected-return relation, especially the model structure and residual dependence; zero mean alone does not establish that residual risks cancel. The exchange offers a conceptual account rather than empirical evidence or a full derivation of the assumptions.

Key ideas

  • CAPM relates expected excess returns to market beta but does not by itself specify return variances.
  • A single-index model decomposes realized returns into market exposure and a residual component.
  • Residual risk can diversify when residuals are sufficiently independent across holdings.
  • Beta measures sensitivity to market movements within the assumed return model.
  • The diversification claim requires assumptions beyond a relation among expected returns.

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Full text
# The common interpretation that CAPM is about diversifiable and non-diversifiable risk cannot be justified by CAPM alone?


# The common interpretation that CAPM is about diversifiable and non-diversifiable risk cannot be justified by CAPM alone?












Look in any finance textbook or search about CAPM, it will say that CAPM is a model about how portfolios have systematic risk (risk that can't be diversified away) and idiosyncratic risk (risk that can be diversified away).

But it appears to me that this is impossible to justified based on CAPM alone, which is a model about expected returns ($\mu_i-r_f=\beta_i(\mu_m-r_f)$), and this is actually an implication of the single-index model, which is a model about realized returns ($r_i-r_f= \beta_i(r_m-r_f)+\epsilon_i$).

In fact, the definition of idiosyncratic risk relies critically on the error term $\epsilon_i$. Without the error term, how can idiosyncratic risk and diversification even be defined?

It appears to me that CAPM says absolutely nothing about risk. You can't derive any statement about the variance of assets or portfolio returns just from a relation that is only about the mean of the returns.

My question is this: How is it possible to derive that beta is a measure of systematic risk, and that every asset has systemic risk that can't be diversified away and idiosyncratic risk that can be diversified away, based on CAPM alone and without relying on the single-index model? If it's not possible, it would appear that pretty much everyone is wrongly attributing to CAPM a conclusion that actually comes from the single-index model.

Edit: This observation has also been noted before in this question, but was brushed aside without addressing it.

## Answer by Bennnn (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/74209

The beta is just the linear correlation with the "market". This can be interpreted as either a latent factor or an actual market return can be used. Also you've missed the alpha

The model assumes a linear relationship between the above risk-free rate of returns and the market rate of returns:

$$r_j - r_f=\alpha_j + \beta_j (r_m - r_f) + \varepsilon_j$$ where $E[\varepsilon_j]=0$.

$\varepsilon_j$ give the idiosyncratic, diversifiable risk because by investing across a large number of stocks these noise terms even out on average since they're independent. This is basically the same as the central limit theorem.

On the other hand the risk we are exposed to from the market index factor $r_m - r_f$ is not diversifiable because no matter how many stocks we invest in, this term will never be independent across the stocks; it is additive.

Beta is a measure of the systematic risk because it tells you how much you expect your portfolio to change in value in response to the market changing in value.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.