Choosing a Distribution from Skewness and Kurtosis
Summary
The discussion asks how to model data with positive skewness and very high kurtosis, and how to calculate a time-specific distribution measure analogous to a normal z-score. It does not identify a particular distribution from those two statistics alone. Instead, the replies recommend fitting candidate distributions to the actual dataset and comparing their goodness of fit, for example with a tool that fits and ranks multiple parametric distributions.
The main caveat is that skewness and kurtosis describe only limited features of a sample; they do not reveal enough about its full shape to select a reliable model. The exchange gives no data, fitted parameters, comparison results, or procedure for computing the requested time-varying score after a distribution is selected. A trader or researcher would need to validate the fit on relevant data and define an appropriate standardized measure for the chosen distribution rather than assume the normal z-score carries over unchanged.
Key ideas
- Skewness and kurtosis alone do not determine which probability distribution fits a dataset.
- Fit plausible candidate distributions to the observed data and compare their goodness of fit.
- Distribution choice depends on the data and the modeling context.
- The discussion does not provide a fitted distribution or a method for calculating the requested time-specific score.
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Full text
# Distribution for High Kurtosis # Distribution for High Kurtosis Can you please advise which distribution to follow when your skewness is 0.28 and Kurtosis value is 51. Since it's leptokurtic and positively skewed I would like to fit distribution and also wanted to calculate distribution value at each time "t" just like we calculate Z score for Normal Distribution. ## Answer by JohnAndrews (score 4) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/3258 That can be a somewhat difficult question to answer, given that the context may yield different distributions. Nevertheless, I think that you could try to fit the best distribution algorithmically. For instance, lately I found this package at Matlab file exchange: Finding the best distribution that fits the data Link > (...) This is where Mike's allfitdist comes into play. Statistics Toolbox supports a long list of distributions, including parametric and nonparametric distributions. allfitdist fits all valid parametric distributions to the data and sorts them using a metric you can use to compare the goodness of the fit. (...) Hope that this helps. Let me know whether it worked for you! ## Answer by pyCthon (score 1) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/3262 I think the best answer is to test different distributions with your specific data set and see which fits the data the best... skewness and kurtosis are just a small piece of information , there is still a good deal of information we don't know and won't have with out having the data set in front of us
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