Comparing Forward Swaps with Duration-Neutral Curve Steepeners
Summary
The discussion compares a payer forward swap beginning in five years and lasting five years with a position that pays fixed on a ten-year swap and receives fixed on a five-year swap. It distinguishes exposure to an outright move in the forward rate from a curve steepener. The two spot swaps form a duration-neutral steepener when their DV01s are matched; ignoring discounting, the answer gives notionals in a two-to-one ratio for the shorter and longer legs.
A more detailed explanation uses swap cash flows and annuities to show why the positions can coincide on a flat curve but differ when rates vary across maturities. The forward swap represents the later-period floating cash flows, while the fixed-leg values depend on the respective swap rates and annuities. The replies interpret the spot 10-year-versus-5-year position as a clearer steepener, while a forward payer position is an outright bet on the forward rate rising. These comparisons assume simplified single-curve conventions and, for duration neutrality, matching rate sensitivity; actual terms and discounting can change the relationship.
Key ideas
- A payer forward swap primarily expresses a view that its forward rate will rise.
- Paying fixed on a ten-year swap and receiving fixed on a five-year swap can express a steepener when DV01 is matched.
- On a flat curve, the two structures can produce equivalent cash flows under the stated assumptions.
- When the curve is not flat, swap rates and annuities make the positions differ.
- The detailed comparison assumes a simplified single-curve setup and aligned conventions.
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Full text
# Curve Trades - Forward Swap vs Swap(Payer and Receiver)
# Curve Trades - Forward Swap vs Swap(Payer and Receiver)
let's say I want to do a steepening trade. What would be the difference between
- entering a swap starting in 5 years and lasting for 5 years (5y5y)
- entering a payer swap with a tenor of 10 years and receiver swap with a tenor of 5 years
Help is much appreciated:)
## Answer by dm63 (score 5)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/65927
Option 1 is not a steepener trade. It is an outright bearish trade that the 5y5y forward rate will move upwards. Option 2 is a steepener trade, if the dv01 is equal on the 5yr and 10yr legs. Ignoring discounting , you would need to pay fixed on 50mm 10yr versus receiving on 100mm 5yr to make it duration neutral, and thus a curve trade.
## Answer by Daneel Olivaw (score 3)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/65920
We assume a single-curve environment. Let us recall that a floating LIBOR payment fixed at time $T$ and paid at time $T^\prime$ can be written in terms of zero-coupon bonds: $$L(t,T,T^\prime):=\frac{1}{T^\prime-T}\left(\frac{P(t,T)}{P(t,T^\prime)}-1\right)$$ Let $\mathcal{T}:=\{T_0,\dots,T_n,\dots,T_m\}$ be a schedule such that a spot 5y swap starts fixing at $T_0$ and makes the last payment at $T_n$, whereas the spot 10y swap stops paying at $T_m$. Let $\delta_i:=T_i-T_{i-1}$ be the accrual fractions. We denote by $S_{5y}$, $S_{10y}$ and $S_{5y5y}$ the 3 swap rates respectively $-$ with self-evident notation. We assume same date conventions both between the float and fix legs, as well as the 5y and 10y swaps, to avoid unnecessary complications. The swap rate for $k\in\{1,\dots,m\}$ is defined as:
\begin{align} S_\bullet := \frac{\sum_{i=1}^k\delta_iP(t,T_{i-1},T_i)L(t,T_{i-1},T_i)}{\sum_{i=1}^k\delta_iP(t,T_{i-1},T_i)} \end{align}
First off, note that the value of the floating leg from the 10y minus 5y trade is equal to: \begin{align} &V_{10y}^{\text{Flt}}-V_{5y}^{\text{Flt}} \\ &\qquad=\sum_{i=1}^m\delta_iP(t,T_i)L(t,T_{i-1},T_i)- \sum_{j=1}^n\delta_iP(t,T_i)L(t,T_{i-1},T_i) \\ &\qquad=(P(t,T_0)-P(t,T_m))-(P(t,T_0)-P(t,T_n)) \\[8pt] &\qquad=P(t,T_n)-P(t,T_m) \\[3pt] &\qquad=\sum_{i=n+1}^m\delta_iP(t,T_i)L(t,T_{i-1},T_i) \\[3pt]\tag{1} &\qquad=V_{5y5y}^{\text{Flt}} \end{align} Hence the value of the floating leg from the 10y minus 5y is equal to that from the 5y5y swap. Now, the value of the fixed leg from the 10y minus 5y position is: \begin{align} &V_{10y}^{\text{Fix}}-V_{5y}^{\text{Fix}} \\ &\qquad=\sum_{i=1}^m\delta_iP(t,T_i)S_{10y}- \sum_{j=1}^n\delta_iP(t,T_i)S_{5y} \\ &\qquad=\sum_{i=n+1}^m\delta_iP(t,T_i)S_{10y} +\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_iP(t,T_i)S_{10y} -\sum_{j=1}^n\delta_iP(t,T_i)S_{5y} \\ &\qquad=\frac{S_{10y}}{S_{5y5y}}V_{5y5y}^{\text{Fix}} +\left(\frac{S_{10y}}{S_{5y}}-1\right)V_{5y}^{\text{Fix}} \\ &\qquad=V_{5y5y}^{\text{Fix}}\left(\frac{S_{10y}}{S_{5y5y}} +\left(\frac{S_{10y}}{S_{5y}}-1\right) \frac{V_{5y}^{\text{Fix}}}{V_{5y5y}^{\text{Fix}}}\right) \end{align} Note that if the curve if flat, that is $S_{5y}=S_{10y}=S_{5y5y}$, you recover @emot's statement that both strategies are the same. Another way of thinking about the 5y5y steepener is by introducing the fixed leg annuity, which is defined as: \begin{align} A_\bullet&:=\sum_{i=\bullet}^\bullet\delta_iP(t,T_{i-1},T_i) \\[4pt]\tag{2} &=\frac{V_\bullet^{\text{Flt}}}{S_\bullet} \end{align} Then using $(2)$, $(1)$ and noting that $A_{10y}=A_{5y5y}+A_{5y}$, you can rewrite the 5y5y rate as follows: \begin{align} S_{5y5y} &=S_{10y}+(S_{10y}-S_{5y})\frac{A_{5y}}{A_{5y5y}} \end{align}
I would expect the ratio of annuities to be close to but above 1 in a rising curve, hence you see you seem more exposed to an increase in the 10 year rate when you’re long a 5y5y swap: \begin{align} S_{5y5y}&\approx S_{10y}+(S_{10y}-S_{5y}) \end{align} On the other hand: \begin{align} S_{10y}-S_{5y}&=(S_{5y5y}-S_{10y})\frac{A_{5y5y}}{A_{5y}} \\ &\approx S_{5y5y}-S_{10y} \end{align} From the definition of the swap rate, you observe it can be interpreted as an average of the LIBOR rates during the swap’s period. Hence the 10y-5y trade profits if the average over the second 5y period is greater than the average over the whole period, that is rates over the second period are greater than over the first one. Hence a 10y-5y seems a better strategy as steepener.
## Answer by emot (score 1)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/65908
I am assuming that in option 1 you are entering into payer swap. If the curve is flat then option a) and b) are the same because you will get the same cashflows in both cases. Why? In option b) both the floating legs and fixed legs on 10Y swap and 5Y will cancel for the first 5 years i.e. the cashflows will be opposite sign, effectively making it 5y5y swap. If the curve is not flat, then the resulting cashflows in 10Y and 5Y swap in option b) will be different and won't offset each other. The forward swap rate in option a) will also be different than the swap rates of 10Y and 5Y spot deals.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.