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Computing Variance for Brownian Exponential Integrals

Article Quant Q&A · Author: james42

Summary

The document considers two different quantities involving the exponential of Brownian motion: a stochastic integral with respect to Brownian motion and an ordinary time integral. It applies Itō's isometry to the stochastic integral, reducing its second moment to the expected integrated square of the integrand. Since the integrand is an exponential of a normally distributed Brownian value, its expectation can be evaluated using the normal moment-generating function.

For the ordinary time integral, the answer explains that the variance requires both its squared expectation and the square of its mean. The second moment is written as a double integral over pairs of times, where the joint dependence between Brownian values matters. The response splits the domain according to which time is earlier and uses the variance of the sum of the two Brownian values to evaluate the exponential moment. This demonstrates why treating the time integral as a single lognormal variable evaluated at an endpoint is not justified. The supplied derivation leaves the final ordinary-calculus integration unfinished, and one posted alternative derivation is incomplete.

Key ideas

  • Itō's isometry relates the second moment of a Brownian stochastic integral to the expected integral of the squared integrand.
  • The exponential moment of a normal random variable can be computed from its mean and variance.
  • The variance of a time integral requires its mean and its second moment.
  • Computing the second moment of the time integral requires accounting for dependence between Brownian values at different times.
  • The document does not complete the final integration for the ordinary time integral.

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Full text
# How to compute the variance of this stochastic integral?


# How to compute the variance of this stochastic integral?












I'm new to stochastic calculus and I did an exercise but I don't know if it is correct, so I need somebody with more experience to check if it is true.

I am trying to compute the variance of the following random variable:

$$Z=\int _0^T e^{W_t} dW_t$$

So we have:

$\text{Var}(Z)=\text{Var}\left(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dW_t\right)$

By Itō's isometry we have:

$$\mathbb{E}\left[\int _0^T e^{2W_t} dt\right]$$

we can then bring inside the expectation to get:

$$\int _0^T \mathbb{E}\left[e^{2W_t}\right] dt = \int_0^T e^{2t} dt = \frac{e^{2T}}{2}-\frac{1}{2}$$

Moreover, if the above result is correct, what should I get instead of the problem asked me to compute

$$\text{Var}\left(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt \right)$$

It should simply be the variance of a lognormal distributed random variable, computed in the extrema of the interval, or not?

## Answer by Gordon (score 4)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/31717

To compute the variance $$\text{Var}\left(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt \right),$$ we need to compute \begin{align*} E\left( \left(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt \right)^2 \right) &= \int_0^T\!\!\!\!\int_0^T E\left(e^{W_s+W_t} \right) ds\,dt. \end{align*} Note that, for $0 \le s, t \le T$, \begin{align*} W_s+W_t = \begin{cases} W_t -W_s + 2 W_s, & \text{ if } s \le t,\\ W_s -W_t + 2 W_t, & \text{ else}. \end{cases} \end{align*} That is, as a sum of two independent normal random variables, $W_s+W_t$ is normal, with mean $0$ and variance \begin{align*} \text{Var}(W_s+W_t) = \begin{cases} t+3s, & \text{ if } s \le t,\\ s+3t, & \text{ else}. \end{cases} \end{align*} Then \begin{align*} E\left( \left(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt \right)^2 \right) &= \int_0^T\!\!\!\!\int_0^T E\left(e^{W_s+W_t} \right) ds\,dt\\ &=\int_0^T\left[\int_0^t E\left(e^{W_s+W_t} \right) ds+\int_t^T E\left(e^{W_s+W_t} \right) ds\right]dt\\ &=\int_0^T\left[\int_0^t e^{\frac{1}{2}t + \frac{3}{2}s} ds+\int_t^T e^{\frac{1}{2}s + \frac{3}{2}t} ds\right]dt. \end{align*} The remaining is simple calculus.

## Answer by BCLC (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/31689

$$Var(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt)$$

$$= E[(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt)^2] - (E[\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt])^2$$

Now

$$E[\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt] = \int _0^T E[e^{W_t}] dt$$

Recall that $W_t$ is normal. use mgf

As for

$$E[(\int _0^T e^{W_t} dt)^2]$$

I'll try following this:

$$E[(\int_0^T e^{W_t} dt)^2]$$

$$ = E[(\int_0^T e^{W_t} dt)(\int _0^T e^{W_s} ds)]$$

$$ = E[\int_0^T \int_0^T e^{W_t} e^{W_s} dt ds]$$

$$ = \int_0^T \int_0^T E[e^{W_t} e^{W_s}] dt ds$$

Without loss of generality, suppose $s < t$. Then by considering the exponential martingale, we have

$$E[e^{W_t} e^{W_s}] = E[E[e^{W_t} e^{W_s}|\mathscr F_s]]$$

$$= E[e^{W_s}E[e^{W_t} |\mathscr F_s]]$$

$$= E[e^{W_s}e^{\frac{t}{2}}E[e^{\frac{-t}{2}}e^{W_t} |\mathscr F_s]]$$

$$= E[e^{W_s}e^{\frac{t}{2}}e^{\frac{-s}{2}}e^{W_s}]$$

$$= e^{\frac{t}{2}}e^{\frac{-s}{2}}E[e^{W_s}e^{W_s}]$$

$$= e^{\frac{t}{2}}e^{\frac{-s}{2}}E[e^{2W_s}]$$

Note that $2W_s$ is normal too. Use mgf again

Thus

$$ \int_0^T \int_0^T E[e^{W_t} e^{W_s}] dt ds$$

$$ = \int_0^T e^{\frac{t}{2}} dt \int_0^T e^{\frac{-s}{2}}E[e^{2W_s}] ds$$

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