Converting Direct Alpha into an Arithmetic PME Spread
Summary
The document compares Direct Alpha (DA) and the GEM implied private premium (IPP) as ways to express private-equity performance relative to a public market equivalent. DA represents the spread geometrically, while IPP expresses it arithmetically. The author initially explores approximations based on DA and the unmodified cash-flow IRR, reporting a strong fit across a set of return streams, then derives an exact relationship from two stated PME identities: IPP equals one plus the original IRR minus the ratio of one plus that IRR to one plus the direct-alpha IRR.
The accompanying answer discusses natural logarithms as a way to express compounded returns and notes that log-based approximations are most accurate for small period returns; errors grow with larger returns and longer intervals. The material does not supply the derivation in full detail or evaluate the formula across a broader dataset. It also concerns private-equity cash-flow performance measures, whose results depend on the cash flows and PME definitions used.
Key ideas
- Direct Alpha expresses the PME spread geometrically, while IPP expresses it arithmetically.
- The document derives IPP from identities relating PME, the original IRR, and the Direct Alpha IRR.
- Natural logarithms connect compounded returns and can approximate arithmetic returns for small changes.
- Log-based approximations lose precision as individual returns or measurement horizons grow.
- The conversion applies within the PME framework and depends on the cash-flow definitions used.
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# Convert Geometric Direct Alpha PME to Arithmetic Excess IRR (PME Alpha / Implied Private Premium) # Convert Geometric Direct Alpha PME to Arithmetic Excess IRR (PME Alpha / Implied Private Premium) As a followup to this old question, Private Equity: Direct Alpha vs Excess IRR, I have a new one. In automating PME calculations, the Direct Alpha (DA) approach is computationally simpler and eliminates the need to use a goal seek. However, we have historically used the Implied Private Premium (IPP) in reporting, so I've been researching the similarity and differences between the methods in the hope that I can move to the more automatable method. This paper in particular proved to be illuminating and states the following: > Although both methods reconcile to the same PME IRR, the DA methodology calculates the IRR Spread geometrically, whereas the GEM IPP methodology calculates the IRR Spread arithmetically. In the GEM IPP paper, the authors demonstrate that DA is a special case of GEM IPP and that under continuous compounding, GEM IPP is equivalent to DA. As proven here, both methods will produce the same PME IRR. The DA methodology has an advantage as it uses an IRR function, which for private equity is the industry standard. A disadvantage with the DA methodology is that the difference is geometric (which some may find confusing or counter-intuitive), although the arithmetic difference can simply be derived after the PME IRR is calculated. An advantage with the GEM IPP methodology is that the IRR Spread is arithmetic and easy to explain; however, the calculation is somewhat cumbersome. It's not entirely clear to me how the arithmetic difference can "simply be derived", though I've managed to find some pretty decent approximations. After computing the DA and IPP for several hundred return streams and comparing the results as a scatterplot, I experimentally came up with the following: If `DA = LN(1 + a)` is the direct alpha with `a` being the IRR of the discounted cash flows according to its definition and `R` is the IRR of the unmodified cash flows, then IPP can be approximated by ``` LN( 1 + DA * EXP( R ) ) ``` or similarly ``` LN( 1 + DA * ( 1 + R ) ) ``` with the actual value of IPP usually between those two values. This gets me better than 99% R^2 fit for reasonable IRR and alpha values, but I don't entirely understand exactly why or if there is a better conversion. Heuristically, I get why `R` is involved and that `LN` converts geometric to arithmetic, but I'm not quite understanding the details. Mathematically, why does this work? Are there a more accurate or simpler conversions/approximations that I've overlooked? I haven't had much luck searching for papers or articles that talk about deriving geometric values from arithmetic ones or vice versa. Any relevant references are welcome. Edit: I think I finally figured it out and it was simpler than I was thinking. I just had to go back and reread the paper. Using these equalities from the paper: ``` PME = R - IPP ``` and ``` PME = (1 + R)/(1 + a) - 1 ``` it's simple to solve for `IPP` in terms of `a`: ``` IPP = 1 + R - (1 + R)/(1 + a) ``` This matches up pretty well with my estimate above near the origin: ## Answer by Chris (score 1) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/45067 So, if I'm reading correctly, you're fundamentally asking what the relationship between 'LN' and 'R' is. In short, it has to do with using a Taylor series to approximate period return. Recall by expansion of the Taylor series: Which, for small x gives: Which means we can approximate individual arithmetic returns using logarithms. We traditionally use the natural log (log base e) to represent return assuming continuous compounding given: So we can use the natural log of 1+r to approximate a single period return. In addition to simplicity of calculation, natural logs have a nice property of allowing us to compound by addition: So we can use the natural log to approximate daily return and simply sum daily values over short-ish intervals to get a larger period return. Caveat (as you'd noticed) being that this is an approximation it loses some precision for larger single period returns and over longer periods, for a similar reason.
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