Deriving a One-Factor Pricing Relation from the SDF
Summary
The exchange concerns a derivation connecting a stochastic discount factor (SDF) to a one-factor expected-return relation. The setup defines the SDF as one minus a traded tangency-portfolio return, then asks how the no-arbitrage pricing equation yields the stated factor beta and risk-premium expression. The question’s algebra reaches a denominator that appears inconsistent with the variance-based form.
The accepted answer supplies the missing condition: if the tangency portfolio is tradable, it must itself satisfy the SDF pricing restriction. Substituting the SDF definition gives a moment condition involving the factor and its squared return. Together with the pricing equation for each asset, that condition allows the desired relation to be derived. The response is concise and does not spell out each algebraic step or discuss estimation, conditional versus unconditional implementation, or assumptions needed for the broader asset-pricing setup.
Key ideas
- A tradable tangency portfolio must satisfy the no-arbitrage pricing equation as an asset.
- With the SDF defined from that portfolio, its own pricing restriction yields a factor moment condition.
- Combining the factor restriction with the asset pricing equation leads to the one-factor relation.
- The answer gives the key step but leaves the intervening algebra to the reader.
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# deriving asset pricing equation
# deriving asset pricing equation
I am reading Deep Learning in Asset Pricing by Chen, Pelger and Zhu (2019) and in the first section it says:
> The fundamental no-arbitrage assumption is equivalent to the existence of a strictly positive stochastic discount factor(SDF) $M_{t+1}$ such that for any return in excess of the risk-free rate $R^e_{t+1,i} = R_{t+1,i} - R^f_{t+1}$, it holds $$\mathbb{E}_t [M_{t+1} R^e_{t+1,i}] = 0 \Leftrightarrow \underbrace{\mathbb{E}_t[R_{t+1,i}^e] = \Big( -\frac{Cov_t(R_{t+1,i}^e, M_{t+1})}{Var_t(M_{t+1})}\Big)}_{\beta_{t,i}} \cdot \underbrace{\Big(\frac{Var_t(M_{t+1})}{\mathbb{E}_t [M_{t+1}]} \Big)}_{\lambda_t},$$ where $\beta_{t,i}$ is the exposure to systematic risk and $\lambda_t$ is the price fo risk. The SDF is an affine transformation of the tangency portfolio. Without loss of generality we consider the SDF formulation $$M_{t+1} = 1 - \sum_{i=1}^N w_{t,i} R_{t+1,i}^e = 1 - w_t^T R_{t+1}^e.$$ The fundamental pricing equation $\mathbb{E}_t[R_{t+1}^e M_{t+1}] = 0$ implies the SDF weights $$w_t =\mathbb{E}_t [R_{t+1}^e (R_{t+1}^e)^T]^{-1} \mathbb{E}_t [R_{t+1}^e],$$ which are the portfolio weights of the conditional mean variance efficient portfolio. We define the tangency portfolio as $F_{t+1} = w_t^TR_{t+1}^e$ and will refer to this traded factor as the SDF. The asset pricing equation can now be formulated as $$\mathbb{E}_t[R^e_{t+1,i}] = \frac{Cov_t(R_{t+1,i}^e, F_{t+1})}{Var_t({F_{t+1})}}\cdot \mathbb{E}_t(F_{t+1}) = \beta_{t,i} \mathbb{E}_t[F_{t+1}].$$ Hence no arbitrage implies a one factor model $$R_{t+1,i}^e = \beta_{t,i} F_{t+1} + \epsilon_{t+1,i}$$
I am trying to derive the last part: \begin{align*} 0 &= \mathbb{E}_t(M_{t+1}R_{t+1,i}^e) = \mathbb{E}[(1-F_{t+1})R_{t+1,i}^e] \\ &= \mathbb{E}[R^e_{t+1,i}] - \mathbb{E} [F_{t+1} R_{t+1,i}^e] \\ &= \mathbb{E}[R^e_{t+1,i}] - Cov(F_{t+1}, R_{t+1,i}^e) - \mathbb{E}[F_{t+1}] \mathbb{E}[R^e_{t+1,i}]\\ \mathbb{E}[R^e_{t+1,i}](1-\mathbb{E}(F_{t+1})) &= Cov(F_{t+1}, R^e_{t+1, i})\\ \mathbb{E}[R^e_{t+1,i}] &= \frac{Cov(F_{t+1}, R^e_{t+1,i})}{1-\mathbb{E}(F_{t+1})} \\ &= \frac{Cov(F_{t+1}, R^e_{t+1,i})}{\mathbb{E}[F_{t+1}] - \mathbb{E}(F_{t+1})^2} \cdot \mathbb{E}[F_{t+1}] \end{align*} This is where I'm stuck at. Any help would be much appreciated.
## Answer by ysimsek (score 2, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/81251
Suppose that F, tangency portfolio, is tradable. Then it must satisfy no arbitrage condition as well. That means:
$\mathbb{E}_t[F_{t+1}M_{t+1}] = 0$
and
$\mathbb{E}_t[F_{t+1}(1-F_{t+1})] = 0$
Using this, you can easily derive the formula in the paper.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.