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Deriving Continuously Compounded Returns from Proportional Changes

Article Quant Q&A · Author: confused

Summary

The note explains how a proportional deterministic change in a stock price leads to continuously compounded returns. Starting from the model dx/x = a dt when the stochastic term is absent, recognize that dx/x is the differential of the natural logarithm of price. Integrating over time therefore gives the change in log price as a times the elapsed period.

Exponentiating that log-price relation yields the ratio of ending price to starting price as an exponential function. This clarifies why the exponential appears: it reverses the logarithm introduced when integrating the proportional change. The explanation is limited to the deterministic case with zero volatility; it does not derive the stochastic log-price process or address the distinction between expected returns and realized returns when random shocks are present.

Key ideas

  • The differential of the log of price equals the proportional price change.
  • Integrating dx/x over time gives the change in log price.
  • Exponentiating the log-price equation recovers the price ratio.
  • The derivation assumes the stochastic component is zero.

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Full text
# Can anyone explain to how Hull get from stock returns to continuously compounded stock returns?


# Can anyone explain to how Hull get from stock returns to continuously compounded stock returns?












I'm reading Chapter 13 of Hull's book and am stuck on how he got from stock returns to continuously compounded stock returns. As a recap, he built the generalized Wiener Process, which describes a change in some variable x is a function of a drift term and stochastic term.

> dx = a * dt + b * ∈ * sqrt(dt) where a * dt is the drift term, b * ∈ * sqrt(dt) is the stochastic term, and ∈ is a standard normal distribution N(0,1)

I get that part. However, that only describes the change in x not a return of x. So we need to make a modification. Under 13.3, he says we just multiply the drift and stochastic terms by x itself so that we can re-arrange the equation to be:

> dx = a * x * dt + b * x * ∈ * sqrt(dt) dx/x = a * dt + b * ∈ * sqrt(dt)

which allows us to describe the returns of x. I get all of that. What I don't get is the case where b is 0, which is when there is no stochastic process. He says the above equation will just become:

> dx/x = a * dt Which when you take the integral with bounds 0 and T, you get: xt = x0 * exp (a * t)

How do you get to the last equation, which is the continuously compounded return? Isn't the derivative of exp(x) equal to itself? And thus if the anti-derivative has exp(x) in it, that means the equation itself has exp(x) in it? I don't get how exp(x) appears out of thin air.

Thanks!

## Answer by Magic is in the chain (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/45096

The key is on the left hand side. Recall that the differential of log of x is:

$d \ln x =\frac{1}{x}dx$

So you get:

$\ln x_t-\ln x_0=at$

Which you will need to exponentiate to get rid of the log:

$\frac{x_t}{x_0}=e^{at}$

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.