Deriving Hedged Option P&L from Implied and Realized Volatility
Summary
The document derives a relationship for the incremental P&L of an option valued at implied volatility and hedged using a delta computed from realized volatility. Starting from the corresponding expression when valuation and hedge volatility match, the derivation subtracts the riskless hedge identity to express the P&L as the change in the implied-versus-realized option value, adjusted for financing at the risk-free rate.
Applying the product rule to the discounted value difference shows that this adjusted change is the exponential growth factor times the differential of the discounted difference. The answer presents both ordinary time differentiation followed by multiplication by the time increment and an Itô product-rule derivation. The latter notes that the discount factor has finite variation, so its quadratic covariation with the option-value process is zero. The explanation verifies the algebra under the stated setup; it does not assess the model assumptions or provide numerical P&L evidence.
Key ideas
- The hedged P&L can be expressed through changes in the difference between option values under implied and realized volatility.
- The risk-free financing adjustment appears as a rate times the option-value difference over the time increment.
- The product rule applied to the discounted value difference yields the complete differential form.
- In the Itô derivation, the deterministic discount factor contributes no quadratic covariation term.
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Full text
# P&L when hedging with realized volatility
# P&L when hedging with realized volatility
Quoting "The Volatility Smile" of EMANUEL DERMAN MICHAEL B. MILLER, pag.95-96:
> The hedged portfolio at any time $t$ is given by $\Pi(I,R)=V_{I}-\Delta_{R}X $, where $\sigma_{R}$ is the computed realized volatility, $V_{I}$ is the value of the option computed with the implied volatility $\sigma_{I}$, and $\Delta_{R}$ is the hedge ratio valued with $\sigma_{R}$. The increment of the portfolio hedged with the realized volatility is $dP\&L(I,R)=dV_{I}-\Delta_{R}dX-\Delta_{R}XDdt-(V_{I}-\Delta_{R}X)rdt$, which can be rewritten as $dP\&L(I,R)=dV_{I}-rV_{I}dt-\Delta_{R}[dX-(r-D)Xdt]$, where $D$ is the dividend yield. Had we valued at $\sigma_R$ and hedged at $\sigma_R$, the hedging startegy would have been the riskless one that leads to the BSM equation. Hence, $dP\&L(R,R)=0=dV_{R}-V_{R}rdt-\Delta_{R}[dX-(r-D)Xdt] \to \Delta_{R}[dX-(r-D)Xdt] = dV_{R}-V_{R}rdt \to dP\&L(I,R)=dV_{I}-dV_{R}-(V_{I}-V_{R})rdt.$
Now the author does something that I don't get:
> Using the product rule to take the derivative of $e^{-rt}(V_{I}-V_{R})$ with respect to $t$, we obtain $dP\&L(I,R)=e^{rt}d[e^{-rt}(V_{I}-V_{R})]$, expressing the incremental P&L in terms of a complete differential, which will make it easier to calculate the total P&L over the life of the option.
What is exactly doing the author in the last step and which are the mathematical steps to go from $e^{rt}\partial/\partial t(V_{I}-V_{R})+(V_{I}-V_{R})\partial/\partial t (e^{rt})$ to $e^{rt}d[e^{-rt}(V_{I}-V_{R})]$? Many thanks!
## Answer by Pleb (score 5, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/79551
Without diving too much into the paper, the derivations can be verified as follows.
#### Derivation:
Let us start from the end result: Using the product rule with respect to $t$ on $e^{-rt} \left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right)$:
\begin{align*} \frac{d}{dt}\left[e^{-rt} \left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right)\right] &= -re^{-rt} \left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right) + e^{-rt} \left[\frac{d}{dt}\left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right)\right]\\ \end{align*} Now multiply with $e^{rt}$ on both sides: \begin{align*} e^{rt}\frac{d}{dt}\left[e^{-rt} \left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right)\right] &= -r \left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right) + \frac{d}{dt}\left(V_I(t) - V_R(t)\right)\\ \end{align*} and lastly we multiply with $dt$ on both sides (I have removed the subscript $t$ to follow authors notation): \begin{align*} e^{rt}d\left[e^{-rt} \left(V_I - V_R\right)\right] &= -r \left(V_I - V_R\right)dt + d\left(V_I - V_R\right)\\ &=-r \left(V_I - V_R\right)dt + dV_I - dV_R\\ &= dP\&L(I,R) \end{align*}
Hence, it holds that we can re-write the P&L equation as the complete differential provided by the authors.
#### Alternative derivation:
An alternative derivation can be provided using the product rule for Itô processes.
Let $f = X \cdot Y$, where $X = e^{-rt}$ and $Y=(V_I - V_R)$, then following from the product rule for Itô processes:
\begin{align} df &= d(X\cdot Y)\\ &= Y dX + X dY + d[X,Y]\\ &= (V_I - V_R)d\left(e^{-rt}\right) + e^{-rt} d\left(V_I - V_R\right) + 0\\ &= (V_I - V_R) \left(-re^{-rt} dt\right) + e^{-rt} d\left(V_I - V_R\right), \end{align} where we have used Itô's lemma on $d(e^{-rt}) = -re^{-rt} dt$ and the fact that the quadratic variation of a finite variation process is zero (ie. $d[X,Y] = 0$, since $e^{-rt}$ is a continuous differentiable function).
Now, multiplying with $e^{rt}$ on both sides gives you the desired result: \begin{align} e^{rt} df&= e^{rt} d(X\cdot Y)\\ &= e^{rt}d\left(e^{-rt} \left(V_I - V_R\right)\right)\\ &= -r (V_I - V_R) dt + dV_I - dV_R\\ &= dP\&L(I,R). \end{align}Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.