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Deriving Option Price Limits with Gaussian Tail Approximations

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Quasar

Summary

The note works through small- and large-volatility asymptotics for an option price expression involving the normal cumulative distribution function. It uses a Gaussian tail expansion, in which the cumulative probability approaches a step-function limit with a density-based correction, and simplifies the paired exponential and density terms. For volatility approaching zero, the leading term becomes the intrinsic-value-like contribution, with a small density correction. For volatility approaching infinity, the expression approaches an exponential term with a correction that decays with volatility.

The derivation is presented as an explanation of formulas from Jaeckel’s paper, with separate approximations for the two limits. It assumes the stated pricing expression and fixed model variables, and it is a mathematical derivation rather than an empirical study. The note offers no numerical validation and does not establish how accurate the approximations are away from the limiting regimes; readers should treat the results as asymptotic behavior.

Key ideas

  • Gaussian tail asymptotics approximate the normal cumulative distribution in extreme arguments.
  • The small-volatility limit uses a step-function leading term and a density correction.
  • The large-volatility limit produces an exponential leading term and a decaying correction.
  • These approximations describe limiting behavior and do not establish accuracy at intermediate volatility.

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# Derivation in Jaeckel's "By Implication" paper


# Derivation in Jaeckel's "By Implication" paper












In this paper by Jaeckel (2006), he derives the asymptotics for the option price $b$ as:

\begin{align*} \lim_{\sigma \to \infty}b= e^{\theta x/2} - \frac{4}{\sigma}\cdot \phi(\sigma/2) \tag{2.7}\\ \lim_{\sigma \to 0} b = \iota +x \cdot \phi(\frac{x}{\sigma}) \cdot \left(\frac{\sigma}{x}\right)^3 \tag{2.8} \end{align*}

For: $$\iota = h(\theta x)\cdot\theta\cdot\left(e^{\frac{x}{2}}-e^{-\frac{x}{2}}\right),$$ where $h(\cdot)$ is the heaviside function.

I get that the Abramovich-Stegun approximation for the gaussian cumulative distribution function(CDF) $\Phi(z)$ is perhaps used to derive expressions (2.7) and (2.8). But, I couldn't follow through and derive these myself.

I would like to ask for some help, to understand how Jaeckel derives this expressions.

## Answer by KT8 (score 2, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/78413

As you mentioned, we know the Abramovich-Stegun approximation for the CDF $$\Phi(z) = h(z) − \dfrac{\varphi(z)}{z} \left[ 1 - \dfrac{1}{z^2} + \mathcal{O}\left(z^{-4} \right)\right], \quad \text{for} \; |z| \to \infty.$$

Moreover, note that we can develop the term $$ e^{\pm x/2} \varphi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right] \right) = \dfrac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}\exp \left\lbrace \pm \dfrac{x}{2} - \dfrac{1}{2}\left(\dfrac{x^2}{\sigma^2} + \dfrac{\sigma^2}{4}\right) \mp \dfrac{x}{2}\right\rbrace = \sqrt{2\pi} \varphi \left( \dfrac{x}{\sigma}\right) \varphi \left(\dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right), $$ where $ \sqrt{2\pi} \varphi \left( \dfrac{x}{\sigma}\right) \to 1 $ for $\sigma \to \infty$ and $ \sqrt{2\pi} \varphi \left( \dfrac{\sigma}{2}\right) \to 1 $ for $\sigma \to 0$.

I will split the derivation in the two cases, $\sigma \to 0$ and $\sigma \to \infty$.

First case: $\sigma \to 0$

In the $\sigma\to0$ case this means $$ e^{\pm x/2}\Phi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]\right) \simeq e^{\pm x/2} \left\lbrace h(\theta \cdot x) - \dfrac{\varphi(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right])}{\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]} + \mathcal{O}\right\rbrace. $$

Then, in the expression for $b$, we have $$ \begin{aligned} b & = \theta \left\lbrace e^{x/2}\Phi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} + \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]\right) − e^{−x/2} \Phi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} - \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]\right)\right\rbrace \\ & \simeq \theta \cdot h(\theta \cdot x) \left( e^{x/2} − e^{−x/2} \right) + \theta \cdot \varphi(x/\sigma) \left[ \dfrac{-\theta}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} + \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} + \dfrac{\theta}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} - \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} \right] \end{aligned} $$ and doing simple algebra you can see that the last term in brackets equals (in the $\sigma \to 0$ limit) $$ \left[ \dfrac{-1}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} + \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} + \dfrac{1}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} - \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} \right] = \dfrac{x}{\left( x / \sigma \right)^3}. $$

Therefore, we have $$ b \simeq \theta \cdot h(\theta \cdot x) \left( e^{x/2} − e^{−x/2} \right) + \varphi(x/\sigma) \cdot x \cdot \left(\sigma / x\right)^3. $$

Second case: $\sigma \to \infty$

In the $\sigma\to\infty$ case this means $$ e^{\pm x/2}\Phi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]\right) \simeq e^{\pm x/2} \left\lbrace h(\pm \theta) - \dfrac{\varphi(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right])}{\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} \pm \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]}+ \mathcal{O} \right\rbrace. $$

Then, in the expression for $b$, we have $$ \begin{aligned} b & = \theta \left\lbrace e^{x/2}\Phi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} + \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]\right) − e^{−x/2} \Phi \left(\theta \left[\dfrac{x}{\sigma} - \dfrac{\sigma}{2} \right]\right)\right\rbrace \\ & \simeq \theta \left( e^{x/2} h(\theta \cdot x) − h(-\theta \cdot x) e^{−x/2} \right) + \theta \cdot \varphi(\sigma / 2) \left[ \dfrac{-\theta}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} + \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} + \dfrac{\theta}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} - \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} \right] \end{aligned} $$

similarly to the previous case, now in the $\sigma \to \infty$ limit, we have $$ \left[ \dfrac{-1}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} + \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} + \dfrac{1}{\dfrac{x}{\sigma} - \dfrac{\sigma}{2}} \right] = - 4 / \sigma. $$

Therefore, we have $$ b \simeq e^{\theta \cdot x/2} - 4 / \sigma \cdot \varphi(\sigma/2), $$ where I have used the definition of the Heaviside to cancel one of the two terms with $h(\cdot)$.

Hope this helps!

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.