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Deriving the Change-of-Numeraire Radon–Nikodym Derivative

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Bravo

Summary

The document explains how to obtain the Radon–Nikodym derivative when changing from a probability measure associated with numeraire M to one associated with numeraire N. The derivation uses the martingale property of asset prices expressed in units of the numeraire. Equating the two measures’ expectations for an arbitrary payoff leads to a density proportional to the ratio of the numeraires’ terminal values, adjusted by their initial values.

A second explanation establishes that this positive density has expectation one and verifies that under the transformed measure, prices expressed in units of N have the required expectation. These arguments connect the change-of-measure formula to its defining expectation identity. The discussion is theoretical and assumes positive numeraire price processes and the stated martingale conditions; it does not address practical estimation or cases where those assumptions fail.

Key ideas

  • A Radon–Nikodym derivative converts expectations under one probability measure into expectations under another.
  • The change-of-numeraire density uses the terminal ratio of the new and old numeraires, adjusted by their initial values.
  • The martingale property of prices expressed in numeraire units motivates the density formula.
  • A positive density with expectation one defines a probability measure equivalent to the original measure.
  • Under the transformed measure, prices expressed in units of the new numeraire satisfy the numeraire pricing relation.

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# Radon Nikodym derivative when changing numeraires


# Radon Nikodym derivative when changing numeraires












I note from Wikipedia that if $Q$ and $Q^N$ are two measures corresponding to numeraires $M$ and $N$, then the Radon Nikodym derivative is given by: $$\frac{dQ^N}{dQ} = \frac{M(0)}{M(T)}\frac{N(T)}{N(0)}.$$

However I do not understand how this formula comes from the traditional definition of a Radon-Nikodym derivative, which is a random variable such that the following holds for all RV $Z$: $E_N(Z)=E_M\left(\frac{dQ^N}{dQ}Z\right)$

## Answer by Gordon (score 3, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/53776

For any price process $Z$, given that $N$ and $M$ are numeraire processes, \begin{align*} E_N\left(\frac{Z_T}{N_T} \right) = E_M\left(\frac{Z_T}{M_T}\frac{M_0}{N_0} \right), \end{align*} as they both equal to $Z_0/N_0$. Note also that \begin{align*} E_N\left(\frac{Z_T}{N_T} \right) = E_M\left(\frac{dQ_N}{dQ_M}\frac{Z_T}{N_T} \right). \end{align*} Then \begin{align*} E_M\left(\frac{dQ_N}{dQ_M}\frac{Z_T}{N_T} \right) &= E_M\left(\frac{Z_T}{M_T}\frac{M_0}{N_0} \right)\\ &=E_M\left(\frac{N_T}{M_T}\frac{M_0}{N_0}\frac{Z_T}{N_T}\right). \end{align*} Since $\frac{Z_T}{N_T}$ can be arbitrary, we conclude that \begin{align*} \frac{dQ_N}{dQ_M} = \frac{N_T}{M_T}\frac{M_0}{N_0}. \end{align*}

## Answer by siou0107 (score 7)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/53669

Any nonnegative random variable $Z$ with expectation 1 is a Radon-Nikodym derivative: $$ \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{P}} \left(Z\right) = \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{P}} \left(\frac{\mathrm{d}\mathbb{Q}}{\mathrm{d}\mathbb{P}}\right) = \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}} \left(1\right) = \int{\mathrm{d}\mathbb{Q}} = 1 $$ $$ \mathbb{Q} \left(A\right) = \mathbb{E}^\mathbb{P} \left(Z 1_A\right) \in \left[0, 1\right] $$ If $Z$ is positive, the probability measure $\mathbb{Q}$ that it defines is equivalent to the original probability measure $\mathbb{P}$.

Now, by definition of a numeraire, under its associated probability measure, all asset prices expressed as units of the numeraire are martingales. For $\mathbb{Q}$ with numeraire $M$ and $N$ a positive asset price process, $$ \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}} \left(\frac{N_T}{M_T}\right) = \frac{N_0}{M_0} \Rightarrow \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}} \left(\frac{M_0}{M_T}\frac{N_T}{N_0}\right) = 1 $$ Since a numeraire is always chosen to be a strictly positive asset price process, the random variable $\frac{M_0}{M_T}\frac{N_T}{N_0}$ defines the Radon-Nikodym derivative of measure $\mathbb{Q}^N$ with respect to $\mathbb{Q}$. If $X$ is an (arbitrary) asset price process, $$ \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}^N} \left(X_T \frac{N_0}{N_T}\right) = \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}} \left(X_T \frac{N_0}{N_T}\frac{M_0}{M_T}\frac{N_T}{N_0}\right) = \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}} \left(X_T\frac{M_0}{M_T}\right) = X_0 $$ That shows that $N$ is indeed the numeraire for measure $\mathbb{Q}^N$.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.