Deriving the Up Factor in a Binomial Option Pricing Tree
Summary
The document discusses how the familiar binomial-tree up factor, expressed as an exponential of volatility times the square root of a time step, can be motivated from a variance condition. The proposed derivation assumes reciprocal up and down factors and uses Taylor expansions for the factors and the interest-rate terms. Keeping terms through first order in the time step makes the resulting variance expression agree approximately with the stated condition. Solving the corresponding quadratic also yields an approximation whose expansion matches the exponential form.
The discussion emphasizes that this is a small-time-step approximation, not an exact identity derived solely from the displayed condition. It also notes that binomial trees are discrete approximations to continuous processes and that alternative placements of the tree nodes are possible. A cited Jarrow–Rudd specification includes drift and dividend terms in addition to volatility. The source contains some sign and notation inconsistencies in its explanation, so the approximation and assumptions should be checked against the chosen tree convention before implementation.
Key ideas
- The standard volatility-based up factor is motivated through a small-time-step expansion.
- The derivation uses reciprocal up and down moves and a variance-matching condition.
- Terms of order higher than the time step are discarded in the approximation.
- Different binomial-tree constructions can use different node locations and up-factor formulas.
- Drift and dividend assumptions can change the specified tree factors.
Tags
Full text
# How can I show that $u=e^{\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}}$ in the binomial option pricing model
# How can I show that $u=e^{\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}}$ in the binomial option pricing model
Given that
$e^{r\Delta t}(u+d)-ud-e^{2r\Delta t} = \sigma^2\Delta t$
I would like to show that
$u=e^{\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}}$
I know I must somehow use Taylor's approximation $e^x = 1 + x + \frac{x^2}{2}+...$ and ignore terms of $\Delta t$ higher than 1, but I can't seem to get to the value of $u$. Can someone show me this derivation?
## Answer by Probilitator (score 2, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/10650
I see your porblem - Hull unfortunately does not explain the reasoning behind the approach.
The hint the books gives is correct. Using Taylor series $e^x$ can be written as $e^x = 1 + x + \frac{x^2}{2}+...$. Hull also incoporates a dividend rate $q$ but we can disregard it here.
$p$ is given by $p=\frac{e^{r\Delta }-d}{u-d}$. We also have $u=\frac{1}{d}$. So to complete our setup wie primarily just need to find a propper $u$ that satisfies equation $(*)$ $$e^{r\Delta t}(u+d)-ud-e^{2r\Delta t} = \sigma^2\Delta t $$ One can assume that $u$ will be some function of $\Delta t$ and thus write $u(\Delta t)$. Furthermore we do not need $u(\Delta t)$ to solve $(*)$ for huge $\Delta t$. If we assume that the function has some taylor approximation we can just work with the truncated taylors some for it will approximate $u(\Delta t)$ well enough for small $\Delta t$.
So we set $u(\Delta t) = e^{-\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}}$
Now obviosly this choice does not satifsy equation $(*)$. Still we would use the result if it's second order taylor approximation will do the job (thus fullfill the equation quite well for smaller $\Delta t$) - remember we can use a taylor expansion to approximate the function - this is the somewhat simplified statement of Taylor's Theorem
The second order Taylor Sum for $e^t$ is given by $e^t \approx 1+t+0.5t^2$. Inserting $\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}$ for $t$ gives $e^{\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}}\approx 1+\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t$. And thus $u(\Delta t) \approx 1+\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t$ and $d(\Delta t) \approx 1-\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t$ for small enough $\Delta t$.
Using the same tecnique we approximate the $e^{r\Delta t},e^{2 r\Delta t}$ terms by their first order taylor sums and get $e^{r\Delta t}=1+r \Delta t$ and $e^{2 r\Delta t}=1+2r \Delta t$.
If you substite the terms in equation $(*)$ by the approximations derived here and kill/ignore all the terms containing $(\Delta t)^2$ you will get the desired result.
Thus
$$(1+r\Delta t)(1+\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t+1-\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t)-(1+\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t)(1-\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t)-(1+2r\Delta t) = \sigma^2\Delta t $$
Simplify (thus just carry out the multiplication) whenver you encounter a term containg $(\Delta t)^2$ (e.g. $\sigma^4(\Delta t)^2$) just set it to zero.
Edit on the background for the choice of $u$
By using the relation $d=1/u$ one can simplify equation $(*)$ to $$ u^2-\frac{1+e^{2r\Delta t}+\sigma^2\Delta t}{e^{r\Delta t}}u+1=0 $$
Setting $A=0.5\frac{1+e^{2r\Delta t}+\sigma^2\Delta t}{e^{r\Delta t}}=0.5(e^{-r\Delta t}+e^{r\Delta t}+\sigma^2\Delta t e^{r\Delta t})$ one arrives at the quadratic equation $u^2-2Au+1=0$
Solving this equation gives $u=A+\sqrt{A^2-1}, d=A-\sqrt{A^2-1}$ Now if one inserts the actual formula for $A$ into this equations, substitutes $e^{r \Delta t},e^{-r \Delta t}$ with $1+r \Delta t,1-r \Delta t$, simplifies and then neglects all the terms containing $(\Delta t)^2$ or higher one arrives at $$ u=1+\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}+0.5\sigma^2 \Delta t $$ This is the second order Taylor approximation of $e^{ \sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}}$
## Answer by Brian B (score 5)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/10610
Not all binomial trees take $u=e^{\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}}$. Thinking of the binomial tree as a discrete approximation (on a grid) to a continuous process, it makes sense that a variety of choices for where to place grid points will work.
For a listing of a few different choices of $u$, see the Tian Tree settings and others. From this Sitmo page you can see, for example, that Jarrow and Rudd take
$$ u = e^{(r-q-\frac12 \sigma^2)\Delta t + \sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}} $$Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.