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Discounted Geometric Brownian Motion Under a Measure Change

Article Quant Q&A · Author: M Smith

Summary

This note checks the stochastic differential for a discounted geometric Brownian motion and explains why a zero-drift process is a martingale under a changed probability measure. Applying Itô’s product rule to the discounted asset gives a factor of the discount process in both drift and diffusion terms. Under the stated measure change, the Brownian motion acquires a drift shift; choosing that shift to cancel the asset’s excess drift leaves the discounted price as a stochastic integral against the new Brownian motion.

The martingale argument relies on the integrand being adapted and square integrable, so that the stochastic integral is a martingale. The answer sketches use of Itô’s isometry to establish integrability. Its explanation is a focused resolution of the displayed derivation; it does not develop the measure-change theorem or discuss more general conditions under which the integral is only a local martingale.

Key ideas

  • Applying the product rule to discounted GBM retains the discount factor in both terms.
  • A suitable Brownian drift shift removes the drift of the discounted asset.
  • A square-integrable adapted integrand makes its Brownian stochastic integral a martingale.
  • Adding a constant initial value to that integral preserves the martingale property.

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Full text
# Calculating the stochastic integral of $\exp(-rt)S_t$


# Calculating the stochastic integral of $\exp(-rt)S_t$












I am currently reading lecture notes which aim to show that if $$ S_t = S_0 \exp (\mu t + \sigma W_t) $$ then, under the probability measure $\tilde{\mathbb{P}}$ with density $$ \gamma_T = \exp (c W_T - \frac{c^2 T}{2}) $$ $e^{-rt} S_t$ ($0 \leq t \leq T$) is a martingale under $\tilde{\mathbb{P}}$ if $$ c = - \frac{\mu - r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}}{\sigma} $$

To prove this, they start by stating that

> $$ d \left( e^{-rt} S_t \right) = S_t \left[ (\mu + \sigma c - r + \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) dt + \sigma d \tilde{W}_t \right] $$

This is where my confusion arises, since I have tried using Ito's formula to deduce the above differential, but have instead arrived at the following result: $$ d \left( e^{-rt} S_t \right) = S_t e^{-rt} \cdot \left[ (\mu + \sigma c - r + \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) dt + \sigma d \tilde{W}_t \right] $$ (I can add my explicit workings for this if neccessary).

Can anyone help me to understand how they have derived their stochastic differential?

Also, what would the definition of a martingale be in this specific context? My understanding of a martingale currently stands as being a stochastic process $X$ for which $\mathbb{E} [X_{t+\delta} | \mathcal{F}_t] = X_t$. I ask because they conclude their proof by saying

> ... Therefore, since $d \left( e^{-rt} S_t \right) = S_t \sigma d \tilde{W}_t$, we deduce that $e^{-rt} S_t$ is a martingale under the implied measure $\tilde{\mathbb{P}}$.

And I don't see how this conclusion proves the desired result.

## Answer by Leon (score 2, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/39922

Ad. 1. You are right:

$Y_{t}=e^{-rt}S_{t}$

$dY_{t}=d(e^{-rt}S_{t})=-re^{-rt}S_{t}dt+e^{-rt}dS_{t}=(\mu-r)e^{-rt}S_{t}dt+\sigma e^{-rt}S_{t}dW_{t}=(\mu-r)Y_{t}dt+\sigma Y_{t}dW_{t}$

Now we have: $\hat{W}_{t}=\frac{\mu-r}{\sigma}+W_{t}$

so

$dY_{t}=\sigma Y_{t}d\hat{W}_{t}$

and

$Y_{t}=Y_{0}+\int_{0}^{t}\sigma Y_{s}d\hat{W}_{s}$

Ad. 2.

Since $\sigma Y_{t}$ is $F_{t}$-adapted and $E\big (\int_{0}^{t}\sigma Y_{s}d\hat{W}_{s}\big )^{2}<+\infty$ for every $t>0$ (use Ito isometry to prove that), then stochastic integral with respect to Wiener process of the form:

$\int_{0}^{t}\sigma Y_{s}d\hat{W}_{s}$

is a martingale.

Since $Y_{0}$ is constant, stochastic process given by:

$Y_{t}=Y_{0}+\int_{0}^{t}\sigma Y_{s}d\hat{W}_{s}$

is a martingale.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.