Distinguishing Priced Risk Factors from Market Anomalies
Summary
The discussion asks how to distinguish risk factors from anomalies and whether an observed return pattern becomes a factor simply by adding it to a regression. One answer frames risk premia as compensation for bearing systematic risks, while anomalies may arise from behavioral biases and could weaken as they are exploited. It also cautions that these categories overlap and can change as models evolve.
A second answer separates the Arbitrage Pricing Theory perspective, which permits factors without a detailed economic story, from an intertemporal asset-pricing perspective, where factors should hedge changes in future investment opportunities or represent systematic risk. Under the latter view, a proposed anomaly needs a defensible connection to such risk or to a stochastic discount factor. The answers use momentum and established factor models as context, but offer conceptual criteria rather than a definitive classification test. Their conclusions depend on the pricing framework, and inclusion in a regression alone does not explain why a return premium exists.
Key ideas
- A risk-factor interpretation requires a rationale for why investors demand compensation for exposure.
- Behavioral anomalies may be vulnerable to arbitrage, though the distinction from priced risk is not absolute.
- Arbitrage Pricing Theory allows empirical factors without requiring a detailed account of their origins.
- An intertemporal pricing model calls for factors that hedge systematic risks or changing investment opportunities.
- Adding a return pattern to a regression does not by itself establish its economic interpretation.
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Full text
# Distinction between "risk factor" and "market anomaly" # Distinction between "risk factor" and "market anomaly" What are some of the general rules to decide whether a particular factor is a "risk factor" or "anomaly?" Naively speaking, can't you put any anomaly factor on the right-hand-side of the regression and call it a risk factor? For example, momentum has been considered an anomaly in the context of the Fama-French 3-factor model, so Carhart included it in the RHS to create a 4-factor model, yet the latest FF 5-factor model does not include momentum. A related question is: What distinguishes the 3/4/5-factors in the Fama-French/Carhart models from the rest of the factors in the factor zoo? ## Answer by vonjd (score 6, accepted) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/15959 I would say the main difference between "risk factor" and "market anomaly" is that people demand to be compensated for risk and because there are different kinds of risks these can be systematized into risk factors whereas anomalies are results of behavioral biases. Another big difference would be that risk factors will stay because of the need for compensation whereas anomalies will be arbitraged away in the long run. I agree that both concepts are not completely orthogonal but that could be because scientists had (and still have) to find systematizations that make sense of the data so that certain ways of organizing the financial world become obsolete in later and more sophisticated models. A good starting point for this way of thinking is Andrew Ang's new book about factor investing - you can find out more here (and there is even a short video which gives you a nice intuition by comparing factors to nutrients in food): http://factorinvestingbook.com/ ## Answer by fni (score 3) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/15960 Nice question! I don’t have a precise answer to it but I will try somehow to give you my thoughts. I think it depends a lot whether you have in mind an APT or an ICAPM as explained in this article by Eugene Fama. The APT is really agnostic regarding the risk premia and the factors, and basically the only prediction is that alphas are going to vanish thanks to arbitrage between a diversified portfolio and a risk free bond: what is crucial is that there is no theory behind the origins of the factors. On the other hand, if you have in mind an ICAPM extra factors should hedge investors against some state variable governing the stochastic investment opportunity set they are going to face in the future. So, in this case, we should somehow justify why the factor is able to hedge you against some risk. Fama and French try to give some economic argument behind their factors but they are not convincing, that’s why you should probably see their model as just an APT. The same is true for Carhart’s model. Regarding the difference between factor and anomaly, there is clearly nothing that prevents you to put the extra return of an “anomaly” on the right hand side and check whether it is priced if you have in mind an APT. On the other hand, to do the same with an ICAPM you should show that your anomaly is somehow linked to predictability, that it hedges some systemic risk or, possibly, invoke the factor mimicking theorem and convince people your factor is nothing more than the projection of the true SDF on the payoff space. All in all, there has been some movement recently regarding these topics. In my opinion, the most convincing ICAPM that has been recently proposed is the one by Adrian, Etula and Muir, published in the last issue of the Journal of Finance, where the pricing factor is the innovation in broker-dealers leverage, mimicking for the risk of fire sales due to the prociclicality of Broker-Dealers’ leverage.
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