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Dividend Yield, Delivery Contracts, and the Stock Price Process

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Giogre

Summary

The document examines the stochastic process of a dividend-paying stock and a delivery contract that represents receiving the stock at a future date. It focuses on applying Ito's lemma to the contract value, defined as the stock price adjusted for dividends over the remaining delivery period. The original question compares a derived drift with a book equation and reports an apparent discrepancy. One response derives the contract process directly from the stock process and obtains a drift matching the stock's physical drift.

A further answer explains the role of reinvested dividends: total wealth from holding the dividend-paying stock includes accumulated dividends, and under the risk-neutral measure the reinvested asset must earn the risk-free rate. This implies a risk-neutral stock drift reduced by the continuous dividend yield. The discussion distinguishes physical and risk-neutral dynamics, but offers no numerical example and relies on continuous yields and Black-Scholes-style assumptions. Care is needed to keep the measure and asset definition consistent when comparing drift terms.

Key ideas

  • A delivery contract can be represented by adjusting the stock price for dividends over the time to delivery.
  • Ito's lemma can derive the contract process from the stock process.
  • Reinvested dividends change the total-wealth process relative to the quoted stock price.
  • Under risk-neutral pricing, the dividend-paying stock drift is the risk-free rate less the dividend yield.
  • Drift comparisons require consistent assumptions about the probability measure and the asset being modeled.

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Full text
# Deriving the stochastic process for a dividend-yielding stock (under Black-Scholes assumptions)


# Deriving the stochastic process for a dividend-yielding stock (under Black-Scholes assumptions)












In order to derive the Black-Scholes equation for a stock $S(t)$ yielding dividends at the continuous rate $d$ $$ S(t) = S_0 e^{(\mu - d - \frac{\sigma^2}{2})t + \sigma \sqrt{t} N(0,1)} \text{,} $$ M. Joshi in The concepts and practice of mathematical finance starts from the stochastic process for a delivery contract $X(t) = e^{-d (T - t)} S(t)$, equation (5.76):

$$ dX_t = (\mu + d) X_t dt + \sigma X_t dW_t \qquad \qquad (1) $$

He defines a delivery contract $X_t$ as a contract where you pay for stock $S_t$ today, but it gets delivered to you at time $T$. He writes that for a non-dividend paying stock, $X_t$ at time $T$ has the same value of $S_t$ as both end up with you holding one $S_t$. Then he makes the case of a dividend paying stock (included in text snapshot below): at time $T$ you will have $e^{d(T−t)}S_t$ if you held the stock, while only $S_t$ if you held a delivery contract, so the latter's value at $T$ must be $X_t=e^{−d(T−t)}S_t$.

However equation (5.76), renamed (1) above is thrown there as is and not motivated by any derivation. I have tried deriving it from the $X_t$ and $S_t$ processes listed above, using the chain rule ($=$ Ito's lemma here because $\dfrac{\partial^2 X_t}{\partial S^2} = 0$):

$$ \begin{align} dX_t(S_t, t) & =\\ &= \frac{\partial X_t}{\partial S_t} dS_t + \left[ \frac{\partial X_t}{\partial t} + \frac{\partial X_t}{\partial S_t} \frac{\partial S_t}{\partial t} \right] dt \\ &= e^{-d(T - t)} \left[ ( \mu - d) S_t dt + \sigma S_t dW_t \right] + \left[ e^{-d (T - t)} S_t d + e^{-d (T - t)} S_t \left(\mu - d - \frac{\sigma^2}{2} \right)\right] dt \\ &= X_t \left[ \left( 2 \mu - d - \frac{\sigma^2}{2} \right) dt + \sigma dW_t \right] \qquad \qquad (2) \end{align} $$

where I have used $dS_t = (\mu - d) S_t dt + \sigma S_t dW_t$.

Equations (1) and (2) differ, in that they have different deterministic components.

Can anyone enlighten me as where errors/incongruities are in the above?

Below, the passage from the book included as snapshot.

## Answer by Kermittfrog (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/71118

Too long for a comment. I'd offer even a third derivation: $$ \begin{align} dS/S&=(\mu-d)dt+\sigma dW\\ X&\equiv e^{-d(T-t)}S_t\\ \Rightarrow dX&=\frac{\partial X}{\partial t}dt+\frac{\partial X}{\partial S }dS\\ &=de^{-d(T-t)}S_tdt+e^{-d(T-t)}dS\\ &=dX_tdt+e^{-d(T-t)}S\left[(\mu-d)dt+\sigma dW\right]\\ &=dX_tdt+X_t(\mu-d)dt+X_t\sigma dW\\ &=X_t\mu dt+X_t\sigma dW\\ &=X_t(\mu dt+\sigma dW) \end{align} $$

## Answer by Frido (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/80945

The crux here is that for a dividend paying stock, the dividends received $qdt$ can be reinvested in the stock. If one buys a stock $S_0$ at time $0$, at time $t$ the total wealth is $S_te^{qt}$, as Joshi wrote. The tradable asset is therefore $S_te^{qt}$. Since this asset is tradable, it must under the pricing measure $\mathbb Q$ have a rate of return equal to $r$.

Thus $$ E [ d (S_te^{qt} )] = r S_te^{qt} dt $$ This holds iff under $\mathbb Q$ $$ dS_t = (r-q)S_t dt + \sigma(\cdot) S_t dW_t $$ whatever $\sigma(\cdot)$ may be.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.