Downward Jumps, Put-Call Parity, and Call Option Value
Summary
The document explains why a call on an asset that can experience downward jumps may have greater fair value than a call on a comparable non-jumping asset, under a particular comparison. Put-call parity links the call and put prices: downside jump risk can raise put value, and parity then implies a higher call value when spot, strike, maturity, and rates are held fixed.
The discussion also invokes the Merton jump model. To keep the same initial price and risk-neutral expected return, the jump-capable asset must have a higher conditional drift when no jump occurs, leaving more probability mass on the upside. The comparison is not a claim that learning about jumps always raises an already-held call’s value: the replies emphasize that the answer depends on what is held fixed and on the precise jump assumptions. No empirical pricing evidence is presented; the explanation is theoretical and model-dependent.
Key ideas
- Put-call parity connects the effect of jump risk on puts and calls.
- A larger put value can imply a larger call value when spot and other contract inputs are fixed.
- In the described jump model, the no-jump drift compensates for the downside jump risk.
- The conclusion depends on the comparison and assumptions, rather than applying to every repricing scenario.
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Full text
# Price of Call Option with or without jumps
# Price of Call Option with or without jumps
> Suppose two assets in the Black Scholes world have the same volatility, but different drifts and that one has downward jumps at random times. How does this affect the option prices?
I would have thought that downward jumps would decrease the value of the call option because you have more chance of being out of the money (ie below the strike). Apparently, the answer is the reverse.
Does anyone have an explanation for this?
## Answer by Robert McDonald (score 6, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/55448
The call for the stock that can jump downward will be more valuable due to put-call parity. Suppose you have two stocks, both with a price of $100 and the same diffusive volatility. Stock A does not jump, whereas stock B can at some random time jump (for example) to zero. Clearly a put on stock B will be worth more, but the call must therefore also be worth more due to parity:
$$\text{Call}(S_{0}, K, T) = \text{Put}(S_{0}, K, T) + S_0 - K e^{-rT}$$
The economic explanation for this is that both stocks have the same price. If the stock that can jump downward is worth the same as the stock that cannot jump, it must have more probability mass on the upside. In the Merton jump model, the stock that can jump to zero has a risk-neutral drift, conditional on no jump, of $r + \lambda$, where $\lambda dt$ is instantaneous probability of the jump to zero. With this drift, the stock's unconditional drift is $r$. The call price in this case is obtained by replacing $r$ with $r+\lambda$, which results in a higher call price. (Merton discusses this case specifically in his 1976 JFE paper.)
## Answer by Brian B (score 4)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/55394
There's a lot left unspecified in this question, since it is stated without precision, but the effective idea of the answer given here is that those jumps introduce extra variation into the forward distribution of the underlying. And such variation is the bread-and-butter of option value.
That said, the ambiguity in the question leaves room for other interpretations. In particular if you as a market-maker sold an at-the-money call for $100, and them immediately after your sale everyone found out that the underlying had a 50-50 probability of jumping down by half tomorrow, you would be very happy, because the underlying would drop in value by 25% or so and the option would go far out of the money.
So, what the person who said the value increases meant was, given two ATM options on separate underlyings with the same continuous volatility, and where the second underlying also had some downward jumps, the latter option will have higher fair value.
Mathematically, this ends up being associated with the second underlying having higher risky drift.
## Answer by Kupoc (score 2)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/55447
You can check out those discussions in Merton paper when introducing jumps "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous". In the very last part he discusses the influence of considering jumps compared to the usual Black Sholes model. From what i remember it'sall about considering your option is ATM or not , that will usually make the BS model call prices higher.
## Answer by Arshdeep (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/55607
I'm not too sure if I interpret the question correctly, but I am inclined to say that as the call is long gamma, 'jumps' (second order moves) would always result in higher value in the delta hedged portfolio, and therefore should be built into the price of the option. So the call should be more expensive if it has jumps.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.