Estimating Portfolio Volatility from CAPM Beta
Summary
The document works through a three-asset portfolio volatility calculation under the CAPM assumption that unsystematic risk is ignored. It shows that portfolio beta is the weighted average of the component betas, then uses the absolute value of that portfolio beta multiplied by market volatility to estimate portfolio standard deviation. The example includes positive and negative asset betas, so the combined portfolio beta is negative even though volatility itself cannot be negative.
The response identifies an arithmetic and formula-use issue in the original final step: the magnitude of beta must be used, and market volatility must be multiplied by 15/1000. It gives the resulting estimate as 0.4575%. This shortcut applies only under the stated simplifying assumption that idiosyncratic risk is excluded; the example does not address estimation error or more general portfolio risk.
Key ideas
- Under the stated CAPM simplification, portfolio beta is the weighted average of asset betas.
- Systematic portfolio volatility equals the absolute portfolio beta multiplied by market volatility.
- A negative beta indicates inverse market exposure, not negative standard deviation.
- The worked example obtains a portfolio standard deviation of 0.4575% after correcting the final calculation.
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# CAPM Model, is this exercise done correctly?
# CAPM Model, is this exercise done correctly?
Hey i need to know if the task is done correctly, please help :) Standard deviation of the rate of return on the market portfolio is equal to $\sigma_{MP}=1,5\%=\frac{15}{1000}$. I have portoflio with 3 assets with weights $w=(\frac{3}{10},\frac{2}{10},\frac{5}{10})$ and Beta of this assets is equal $\beta_1=-\frac{5}{4}, \beta_2=\frac{85}{100}. \beta_3=-\frac{2}{10}$. I have to estimate the value of the standard deviation of the rate of return on the investor's portfolio. Skip the risk unsystematic.
My solution:
$\sigma_w^2=\beta^2\sigma_{MP}^2 \Rightarrow \sigma_w=|\beta|\sigma_{MP}$. I calculate
$\beta=\frac{cov(K_w,K_{MP})}{\sigma_{MP}^2}$ I calculate:
$cov(K_1,K_{MP})=\beta_1\cdot\sigma_m^2=-\frac{5}{4}\cdot \frac{15^2}{1000^2}=-\frac{9}{32000}$
$cov(K_2,K_{MP})=\beta_2\cdot\sigma_m^2=\frac{85}{100}\cdot \frac{15^2}{1000^2}=\frac{153}{800000}$
$cov(K_3,K_{MP})=\beta_3\cdot\sigma_m^2=-\frac{2}{10}\cdot \frac{15^2}{1000^2}=-\frac{9}{200000}$
Now I can calculate:
$cov(K_w,K_{MP})=cov(w_1\cdot K_1+w_2\cdot K_2+ w_3\cdot K_3, K_{MP})=w_1 cov(K_1,K_{MP})+ w_2cov(K_2,K_{MP})+ w_3cov(K_1,K_{MP})=\frac{3}{10}\cdot \frac{-9}{32000}+\frac{2}{10}\cdot \frac{153}{800000}+\frac{5}{10}\cdot\frac{-9}{200000}=-\frac{549}{8000000}$
So i Can calculate:
$\beta_w=\frac{cov(K_w,K_{MP})}{\sigma_{MP}^2 }=-\frac{549}{8000000}\cdot\frac{1000000}{225}=-\frac{61}{200}$
So $\sigma_{w}=\beta_w\cdot\sigma_{MP}=-\frac{61}{200}\cdot \frac{1000}{15}=-\frac{183}{40000}\approx 0,4575\%$
please tell me if my solution is correct or somewhere is it wrong?
## Answer by Oscar (score 1, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/53755
That looks correct to me apart from the calculations at the end which aren't in line with the formula you posted above. You could however immediately use the fact that the beta of the portfolio is just the weighted average of the beta of the stocks and save yourself some notation. Just insert $\beta_i * \sigma_w^2$ instead of the covariance terms in your calculations and you'll see that it simplifies nicely with the $\sigma_w^2$ term cancelling out. So $\beta_w = -(5/4)*(3/10)+(85/100)*(2/10)-(2/10)*(5/10) = -(61/200)$ with $\sigma_w$ following as |(-61/200)|*(15/1000)= 0.004575Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.