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Expected Value of a Complex Exponential of Brownian Motion

Article Quant Q&A · Author: LondonGuest

Summary

The document finds the expectation of a complex exponential formed from Brownian motion, using both the normal distribution and an Itô differential equation. Since Brownian motion at time t is normally distributed with variance t, its characteristic function gives the expectation as an exponential decay in time and the squared frequency parameter. The same result follows by taking expectations in the stochastic differential equation and solving the resulting ordinary differential equation.

The derivation also highlights the initial condition: the expectation includes the starting value of the process, which is one when the process is defined as the exponential of Brownian motion alone. The discussion is a focused probability calculation rather than a trading strategy. Its Itô argument assumes the stochastic integral has zero expectation and that the process is suitably integrable; the characteristic-function method offers a direct route to the stated result.

Key ideas

  • Brownian motion at time t has a normal distribution with variance t.
  • The characteristic function of that normal variable gives the expected complex exponential.
  • Applying Itô's formula leads to an ordinary differential equation for the expectation.
  • The initial condition determines the multiplicative starting value in the solution.

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# Expectation of functions with Brownian Motion embedded


# Expectation of functions with Brownian Motion embedded












Trying to solve a problem set with:

Let $W_t$ be a Brownian Motion and $X_t = e^{izW_t}$ where $z$ is real, $i = \sqrt{-1}$.

I need to find $\mathbb{E}\left(X_t\right)$... I am a bit stuck.

I have got the SDE $X_t$ satisfies as: $$ dX_t = \left(iz\:dW_t + 0.5 \cdot (iz)^2 \:dt\right) X_t $$ From here I'm trying to get the expectation....

I set:

$m(t) = \mathbb{E}\left(X_t\right)$ and work through to end up with $dM(t) = \mathbb{E}\left(dX(t)\right)$

Then $iz\:dW_t$ in $dX_t$ expectation is 0 as $dW_t$ is $N(0,1)$ distributed....

I end up with the ODE : $$\frac{dm}{dt} = \frac{1}{2} \cdot m \cdot (iz)^2$$

Am I missing something? I am self teaching and new to this!

## Answer by Kermittfrog (score 2)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/69507

As you have already noted, $W_t$ is normally distributed with

$$ W_t\sim \mathrm{N}(0,t) $$

Then,

$$ \varphi(z)\equiv\mathrm{E}\left(e^{izW_t}\right)=e^{-\frac{1}{2}z^2t} $$

is the characteristic function of the Normal distribution.

## Answer by Pleb (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/69510

#### Alternatively, you can solve the ODE and recover the result:

With regards to the SDE for $X_t$, I got the same ODE as described above. We can derive the solution, $m(t)$, to the ODE as follows:

\begin{align} \frac{dm(t)}{dt} &= \frac{1}{2} (iz)^2\cdot m(t)\\ &\Updownarrow\\ \frac{2\cdot\frac{dm(t)}{dt}}{m(t)} &= -z^2\\ &\Updownarrow\\ \int \frac{2\cdot\frac{dm(t)}{dt}}{m(t)} \: dt&= \int-z^2\: dt \\ &\Updownarrow\\ 2\ln\left(m(t)\right) &= -z^2t+C_1\\ &\Updownarrow\\ m(t)&=e^{\frac{-z^2t}{2}}e^{\frac{C_1}{2}}, \end{align} where in the third and fourth equation, we have integrated with respect to $t$ on both sides and then collected the constants on one side, called $C_1$. The initial value of the ODE is just the initial value of the SDE, $m(0) := \mathbb{E}\left[X_0\right]=X_0 = e^{\frac{C_1}{2}}$. In conclusion, you will end up with the solution:

$$m(t) := \mathbb{E}\left[X_t\right] = X_0e^{-\frac{1}{2}z^2t}$$

In this regard, I believe that you're missing the initial value, $X_0$, in the first part of your statement for $X_t$.

The solution can be verified by observing that the SDE of $X_t$ is the well-known Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) with solution: \begin{align} X_t &= X_0 e^{\left(\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}\right)t + \sigma W_t}\\ &= X_0 e^{\left(\frac{1}{2}(iz)^2-\frac{(iz)^2}{2}\right)t + iz W_t}\\ &= X_0 e^{iz W_t} \end{align}

where in your scenario, $\mu = \frac{1}{2}(iz)^2$ and $\sigma = iz$. Here, we know that the expected value of a GBM is given by:

\begin{align} \mathbb{E}\left[X_t\right] &= X_0e^{\mu t}\\ &=X_0e^{-\frac{1}{2}z^2 t}, \end{align}

giving us the same result as the solution of the ODE.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.