Factor-Model Alpha: Time-Series Intercepts and Fama–MacBeth Estimates
Summary
The document compares two ways to estimate performance relative to factors. In a two-stage approach, asset exposures are first estimated from time-series regressions, then factor risk premiums are estimated from cross-sectional regressions at each date and averaged. Alpha is computed as average excess return minus the estimated factor contributions. The alternative for traded factors is to use the intercepts from separate time-series regressions.
The response says the two-stage method is useful when factors may be non-traded, while traded-factor models can test whether time-series intercepts are zero. It outlines a joint Gibbons–Ross–Shanken test: estimate residuals across assets, form their covariance matrix, and use it to test the intercept vector. The document provides the procedure and test expression but little empirical evidence, and it does not resolve implementation details such as inference adjustments or sample choices. Its direct example concerns factor-model performance measurement.
Key ideas
- The two-stage approach estimates factor exposures over time and risk premiums across assets at each date.
- Alpha can be calculated from mean excess returns after subtracting estimated factor contributions.
- For traded factors, separate time-series regression intercepts provide a direct pricing-error test.
- The Gibbons–Ross–Shanken procedure jointly tests whether the asset intercepts are zero using residual covariance.
Tags
Full text
# Alpha estimation from factor models
# Alpha estimation from factor models
This question makes reference to section 8.4 - Application to performance measure - of the 2007 publication "Performance Measurement for Traditional Investment" by Véronique Le Sourd. You can find the paper here.
In her article, the author states that the implementation of factor models is carried out in two stages (if I understand correctly, she refers to the Fama Macbeth methodology). First, betas are estimated by means of a series of time series regressions of asset returns (one for each asset $i$) on factor returns:
$(1)$ $R_{it} = \beta_{i0} + \sum_{k=1}^K\beta_{ik}F_{kt}+\epsilon_{it}$
Then, lambdas are estimated running a cross-sectional regression at each date $t$:
$(2)$ $R_{it} - R_f = \hat\alpha + \sum_{k=1}^K\hat\beta_{ik}\hat\lambda_{kt}+\zeta_{it}$
After calculating the average risk premiums as:
$(3)$ $\lambda_k = \frac{1}{T}\sum_{t=1}^T\lambda_{kt}$
She states that fund performance is given by:
$(4)$ $\alpha_i = \bar{R_i} - \bar{R_f} - \sum_{k=1}^K\hat{\beta_{ik}}\lambda_k$
What is not clear to me is why one would estimate alpha as in equation $(4)$ instead of simply considering as alpha the estimate of the coefficient called $\beta_{i0}$ in equation $(1)$.
For instance, if I were to employ the Fama-French three-factor model to estimate alpha, should I follow the procedure above or simply estimate alpha as the intercept of the following regression?
$R_{it} - R_{ft} = \alpha_i + \beta_i(R_{mt}-R_{ft}) + s_iSMB_t + h_iHML_t + \epsilon_{it}$
## Answer by phdstudent (score 1, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/46767
The advantage of the method is that you can use it regardless of whether the factor is traded or non-traded. If the factor is traded, you are correct, you can use time-series tests and test whether the intercept is zero ($\beta_{i0}$) in your case.
We are testing whether $\beta_{i0}=$ in:
$R_{it} = \beta_{i0} + \sum_{k=1}^K\beta_{ik}F_{kt}+\epsilon_{it}$
In other words, we are testing whether the pricing errors are simply a product of "normal" sample variation or in fact a result of a misspecified model.
The steps to perform time-series regressions (instead of Fama-McBethe) are:
- Run $N$ separate regressions for each asset $i$
- Get the sample vector of residuals $\epsilon_{it}$
- Calculate the variance covariance matrix of residuals $\hat{\Sigma}$
- Gibbons, Ross, and Shanken (1987) show us that when we have to estimate the covariance matrix, the joint test become:
$\frac{T-N-1}{N}\frac{1}{\theta_p^2} \hat{\beta_{0}}' \hat{\Sigma}^{-1} \hat{\beta_{0}} \sim F(N,T-N-1)$ where:
$\theta_p^2 = \frac{\bar{F}^2}{Var_T(F_t)}$
Check GRS original paper for an economic intuition of this test.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.