Finding Historical Consensus Forecasts for US Nonfarm Payrolls
Summary
The document addresses where to obtain historical consensus forecasts for the US Nonfarm Payrolls release. The answer points to an economic calendar that provides consensus estimates alongside actual Non-Farm Employment Change results, with a history described as spanning more than fifteen years.
This is a source recommendation rather than a forecasting method or analysis. The material does not explain how the consensus is collected, whether the historical observations are downloadable, or how forecast revisions and timestamps are handled. Those details matter when using the series to study event surprises or construct a trading backtest, so the answer alone does not establish that the data are suitable for systematic research. It identifies a possible starting point for locating forecast and realized figures, without demonstrating the dataset’s completeness, format, or licensing terms.
Key ideas
- An economic calendar is suggested as a source for historical Nonfarm Payroll consensus and actual figures.
- The answer describes a history extending more than fifteen years.
- It does not explain data collection, download options, timestamps, or suitability for backtesting.
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Full text
# Consensus Forecast Data for NFP # Consensus Forecast Data for NFP Does anybody know where I can get historical consensus forecast data for Non-forma Payroll (NFP)? Or any forecast data for NFP. Thanks, ## Answer by KarolisR (score 1) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/27709 You can find it on http://www.forexfactory.com/. Click details on "Non-Farm Employment Change" and you will have consensus and actual data for last 15+ years.
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