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Fractal Breakout Entries with Average-Fractal Trend Exits

Article Strategy library · Author: ChaoZhang

Summary

This long-only strategy uses confirmed fractal highs as resistance. A fractal high is a bar whose high exceeds those of the two bars on either side; when the selected price closes above the latest fractal level, the system enters long. It also averages recent fractal prices, using the direction of that average as a trend filter and exiting when it turns downward. The settings allow a choice of price series, an average of two or three fractals, and a prior-bar price check intended to reduce repainting.

The document explains the rules and suggests that the slower signals may reduce noise and trading frequency. It gives no performance results or comparative evidence. Fractal identification requires bars on both sides of the candidate high, so confirmation is delayed; the provided strategy also uses a delayed exit setting. The source and settings describe a BTC/USDT futures test over a short historical interval, which does not establish performance across assets or market regimes. The document notes the chance of false signals and suggests additional filters and stop losses.

Key ideas

  • A fractal high is defined by comparison with the highs of two preceding and two following bars.
  • A long entry is triggered when price breaks above the latest recorded fractal high while the average-fractal trend is rising.
  • The long position closes when the average of recent fractal prices turns downward, subject to the configured delay.
  • Fractal confirmation is delayed and can produce false signals, so the method may not suit short-term trading.
  • The document proposes indicator confirmation, parameter changes, and stop losses, but reports no measured results.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.