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Gaussian-Smoothed Detrended Oscillator Reversal Signals

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Summary

This strategy uses a detrended price oscillator (DPO) to focus on shorter-term price cycles relative to an exponential moving average. It then smooths the oscillator with an Arnaud Legoux moving average, producing a line intended to reduce noise while retaining turning points. A delayed copy of that line serves as a comparison signal.

Long entries occur when the smoothed oscillator crosses above its lag while below zero; shorts enter when it crosses below its lag while above zero. Positions close on a reverse crossover or when the oscillator crosses the zero line. The chart plots the oscillator, its shifted lag, and entry and exit markers. The document provides the calculation and signal rules, but no performance results or empirical validation. Its effectiveness may depend on chosen periods, market, and timeframe, and the stated signals alone do not establish profitability.

Key ideas

  • The DPO subtracts a lagged exponential moving average from the closing price to isolate shorter-term cycles.
  • An Arnaud Legoux moving average smooths the DPO, and a lagged copy supplies crossover signals.
  • Longs trigger on an upward crossover below zero, while shorts trigger on a downward crossover above zero.
  • Positions exit on a reverse crossover or a move through zero.
  • The document gives no backtest evidence or transaction-cost analysis.

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.