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How Heston Volatility of Volatility Changes the Smile Level

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Archetupon

Summary

The document explains why increasing volatility of variance in the Heston model can lower the at-the-money implied volatility level across maturities even while making each maturity’s smile more curved. It uses the expected integrated variance, expressed as a variance-swap strike, to connect the model parameters governing variance level and mean reversion to option prices across strikes.

Because changing volatility of variance does not alter that expected variance under the stated setup, the weighted aggregate of option prices across strikes must remain consistent. Greater smile convexity therefore entails a lower central level; reducing convexity has the opposite effect. This gives intuition for how a parameter can alter the maturity profile of at-the-money prices without changing the variance-swap measure. The explanation assumes the other Heston parameters stay fixed and invokes the model-free link between variance swaps and out-of-the-money option prices; it does not provide a numerical calibration or quantify the effect for a particular market surface.

Key ideas

  • The Heston variance-swap strike depends on initial variance, long-run variance, and mean reversion in the setup described.
  • Increasing volatility of variance makes the implied-volatility smile more convex at a given maturity.
  • If expected integrated variance is unchanged, greater smile convexity implies a lower central volatility level.
  • The argument links the variance-swap strike to a weighted range of out-of-the-money option prices.
  • The explanation holds other Heston parameters fixed and does not quantify a market-specific effect.

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Full text
# Intuition for the Effect of Vol of Vol in Heston Model on Volatility Surface


# Intuition for the Effect of Vol of Vol in Heston Model on Volatility Surface












I was hoping someone could describe the economic/mathematical intuition behind the effect that the vol of vol parameter has on the volatility surface, in particular the slope to maturity. Take for instance, as in Kienitz and Wetterau (2012), the model as $$dS(t)=\mu S(t)dt+\sqrt{V(t)}S(t)dW_1(t)$$ $$dV(t)=\kappa(\Theta-V(t))dt+\nu\sqrt{V(t)}dW_2(t)$$ $$S(0)=S_0$$ $$V(0)=V_0$$ $$\langle\,dW_1,dW_2\rangle=\rho dt$$

The authors then supply the following vol surfaces after perturbing certain parameters:

All of these make sense to me accept the final chart showing the effects of perturbing the vol of vol, $\nu$. The more pronounced smiles at any given maturity are fine, I get those. I may be missing something obvious, but how does a higher vol of vol, all else equal, lead to declining option prices as we extend the maturity?

## Answer by Quantuple (score 6, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/42482

Maybe it would help you to think of it the following way.

The strike $\sigma^2(T)$ of a fresh-start variance swap of maturity $T$ in the Heston model only depends on parameters $(v_0,\theta,\kappa)$, see related question here. More specifically

\begin{align} \sigma^2(T) &= \Bbb{E}_0^\Bbb{Q}\left[ \frac{1}{T} \langle \ln S\rangle_T \right] \\ &= \theta + (v_0-\theta) \frac{1-e^{-\kappa T}}{\kappa T} \end{align}

A well-known model-free result is that one can express the above variance strike as an integral over strike space of weighted OTMF option prices (see here), or equivalently, as an integral over strike space of the implied volatility smile (actually a slight re-parameterisation of it, see here)

Now, you seem to be OK with the fact that when you increase (resp. decrease) vol of vol in Heston, the convexity of the IV smile at any given maturity is expected to increases (resp. decreases).

From all the information above, we can then add that, for any given smile of maturity $T$

- When you decrease vol of vol, the convexity of the smile decreases. Because $\sigma^2(T)$ needs to stay the same however (you did not change $v_0$, $\theta$ or $\kappa$), the ATM volatility level then mechanically needs to increase so that the integral of vol in strike space remains the same.

- When you increase vol of vol, the convexity of the smile increases. Because $\sigma^2(T)$ needs to stay the same however, the ATM volatility level then mechanically needs to decrease so that the integral of vol in strike space remains the same.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.