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How OIS Quotes Define Overnight Forward Rates and Discount Curves

Article Quant Q&A · Author: user6703592

Summary

The document clarifies how overnight indexed swap quotes relate to overnight index fixings and the construction of an OIS curve. The overnight rate in the swap formula is the relevant published index fixing, or its forecast for future dates; it is not simply a central bank policy rate. Daily observations compound over the accrual period to determine the floating payment, while the fixed swap rate is the market-quoted rate that balances the contract's cash flows.

Market OIS swap quotes provide calibration targets for a curve of discount factors and forecast overnight rates. Curve construction uses a bootstrapping or numerical-solving approach, with interpolation or other assumptions needed because a small set of swap quotes cannot uniquely determine every daily fixing. The answer illustrates this with short-dated quotes and shows how cumulative periods constrain compounded rates. Its example is schematic: the inferred daily rates depend on modeling choices, market conventions, and available instruments, and the listed index names may change over time.

Key ideas

  • The floating leg references a published overnight index fixing, with future fixings forecast when pricing the swap.
  • Daily overnight fixings compound to determine the floating payment over an accrual period.
  • Quoted OIS swap rates serve as market inputs for constructing discount and forward-rate curves.
  • Bootstrapping or numerical solving uses swap quotes alongside interpolation or other curve assumptions.
  • A limited set of swap quotes does not uniquely determine every daily overnight rate.

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Full text
# Relation between OIS rate and discounting rate


# Relation between OIS rate and discounting rate












This is from book Modern Derivatives Pricing and Credit Exposure Analysis page 22

https://www.amazon.com/Modern-Derivatives-Pricing-Exposure-Analysis/dp/1137494832

In an OIS, two parties exchange a fixed coupon (paid annually for longer-dated swaps and as a single payment at maturity otherwise) against the daily fixed and compounded overnight rate. Daily compounding means that the rate paid at the end of period i = 1, . . . ,n is given by $$R_i = \dfrac{1}{\delta_i}\left[\prod\limits_{k=1}^{n_i}(1+F^{ON}(t_{i,k-1},t_{i,k})\delta_{i,k})-1\right]$$

Here $df^{ON}$ is dicounting factor.

I cannot understand that

- Here is the $F^{ON}(t_{i,k-1},t_{i,k})$ the `overnight index rate` (like Fderal funds rate)?

- What the OIS rate or OIS curve mentioned at last in the formula? I think that it is the swap rate $c_0.$

- What is OIS quoting? Do we first have the OIS quoting or first have the overnight index rate quoting in the market? From the final formula we can see that it is not related to the overnight index rate $F^{ON}(t_{i,k-1},t_{i,k}).$ And if we already had a the quoting of OIS rate, then from the relation between OIS and overnight rate, there will be a restriction of series of overnight rate? Or OIS rate is quoted from the forward overnight rate?

Can anyone clarify those of my confusions?

## Answer by Attack68 (score 5, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/42196

- No its not the Fed Funds Rate, or the Bank of England Base Rate or the ECB Refi Rate, it is the forecast, published OIS fixing index determined by the relevant authority in the currency. I.e in USD it is FFOIS, in GBP it is SONIA and in EUR it is EONIA. (Actually these names may in fact be transitioning to other in index definitions now, especially in EUR)

- An OIS contract is a 'swap' but there are other types of 'swaps' that settle to IBOR based indexes and not OIS indexes. If you want to build an OIS curve from market prices you can take OIS-swap rates longer than 1 year and use a bootstrapping (note that more modern multivariate simultaneous solving methods are used not bootstrapping) process to backward filling all the forecast forward rates (subject to some interpolation scheme) that will make sure your curve reprices every swap correctly.

- Quotes are just stated prices, i.e. bids and offers. Since forecast rates are undetermined they give rise to uncertainty and scope for disagreement between counterparties and market-makers. Quotes provide the mechanism for people to strike deals when they wish to trade at another's price level. For the layperson quotes provide a means to calibrate the mid-market, i.e. expected collection of forward rates making up a contract or swap, and in turn one can then use the above bootstrapping process to generate a curve of expected forward rates.

Edit:

Say you observe some market quoted prices for OIS swaps:

```
        bid .  offer .  mid
1-month 1%  .  1.02%    1.01% 
2-month 1.1% . 1.12% .  1.11%
3-month 1.2% . 1.22% .  1.21%
```

To determine these prices the trader has essentially forecast every OIS fixing in the 3month period, i.e 63 business days. So 63 datapoints have gone into their calculation. So now you want to get the values of the fixings on these 63 days what do you do? Use assumptions:

a) you know what yesterday's fixing was so that gives you some info about the start of your curve.

b) you know that compounded the first 21 or so must compound to the 1M rate.

c) you know the first 42 or so must compound to the 2M rate.

d) you know the first 63 equal the 3M rate of 1.21%.

e) you assume some relation between days, e.g. they are interpolated in some smooth manner or only jump on certain dates (central bank policy meetings).

Then you take all the that infomation and incorporate it into a numerical solver which determines all the rates for the 63 dates.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.