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How Treasury Futures Conversion Factors Adjust for Coupon Differences

Article Quant Q&A · Author: junior_pm

Summary

The document explains the role of conversion factors in U.S. Treasury futures, where eligible deliverable notes and bonds can differ in coupon and accrued interest. A factor is set when a contract is introduced and remains fixed through expiration. It approximates the price per unit of face value at a six percent yield for the eligible security, allowing the futures invoice amount to account for differences among deliverable bonds.

Without conversion factors, lower-coupon securities of similar maturity could have a systematic delivery advantage. The adjustment reduces, but does not remove, those differences, so the cheapest-to-deliver choice can depend on market conditions and may change over time. The explanation also cautions that bond price-yield behavior is nonlinear, so a security's DV01 changes as yields move. The discussion is specific to U.S. Treasury futures; other countries' contracts may use related or materially different conventions.

Key ideas

  • U.S. Treasury futures conversion factors are fixed for a contract from its setup through expiration.
  • A factor approximates the price of an eligible security at the contract's six percent reference yield.
  • The adjustment reduces coupon and accrued-interest differences across delivery choices.
  • Conversion factors do not eliminate all delivery advantages, so cheapest-to-deliver analysis remains relevant.
  • Bond DV01 changes with yield because the price-yield relationship is nonlinear.

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Full text
# Answer by Dimitri Vulis (score 1)


# What does the conversion factor for Treasury bond futures do in relation to the 6% coupon specification for the contract?












I understand that the specification for say, a 10-year Treasury note futures contract is for a face value of $100,000 with a 6% coupon. However, the eligible securities that may be delivered span across different maturities and may be of different coupons.

I also understand that a conversion factor must be applied to the delivered securities.

Eg if we have a 3% coupon bond with price 102.45 (chose a random number here), we must multiply this by a conversion factor such that the bond yields 6%. (ie where does the coupon = 6% come into play?)

The bit where I am stuck is: how can we compare the price of the futures contract, which may indeed yield below 6%, with that of delivered bond? And how does the conversion factor help?

## Answer by Dimitri Vulis (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/59078

(This is about U.S. treasury futures. Treasury futures in some other countries, like Germany or the U.K., are somewhat similar with subtle differences. Treasury futures in some other countries, like Australia or Korea are very different.)

The conversion factors are determined when the new futures contract is set up and don't change until the contract expires. The goal is to reduce (but not completely eliminate) the difference in coupon and accrued interest among the choices that can be delivered.

Imagine if all conversion factors were 1, and you had two eligible instruments, one paying 1% coupon, and another paying 2% coupon, same maturity. You don't need a very sophisticated cheapest to deliver model to see that the 1% coupon is always cheaper to deliver. Throwing in the conversion factor into the mix, so that more of the lower-coupon instrument needs to be delivered, levels the playing field between the choices, so that the cheapest to deliver may not be immediately obvious and may change with time.

According to CME https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/calculating-us-treasury-futures-conversion-factors.html

> Every cash note or bond that is eligible for delivery into a Treasury futures contract has a conversion factor that reflects its coupon and remaining time to maturity as of a specific delivery month. A conversion factor is the approximate decimal price at which $1 par of a security would trade if it had a six percent yield-to-maturity. A common misconception is that the DV01 of a Treasury security remains fixed as the yield of the instrument changes. In truth, the price-yield relationship of a Treasury security is nonlinear; as yields fluctuate, the DV01 of a Treasury security changes.

If there was a U.S. treasury instrument with exactly 6% coupon, then the converson factor for this bond would be 1. But as of this writing, most coupons are much less, and so in order to get 6% yield, the price needs to be below par.

As an aside, according to https://www.risk.net/derivatives/7695186/cme-asks-clients-about-changing-implied-ust-futures-coupon , CME has been asking customers about possibly changing the UST futures implied coupon from 6% to 4%. This would result in higher conversion factors.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.