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How VIX Relates to Variance Swaps, Volatility Swaps, and VIX Futures

Article Quant Q&A · Author: RAY

Summary

The document distinguishes the VIX index from a volatility swap by comparing the quantities each represents. VIX is described as the square root of a variance swap strike, with variance expressed in volatility units. A volatility swap instead pays against realized volatility itself, so its payoff is linear in volatility rather than variance. A numerical example illustrates the difference between the two swap payoffs and a position in a VIX future held to expiry.

The discussion also separates spot VIX from VIX futures. The latter reflects an expectation of a future VIX level, and is characterized as lying between a forward volatility swap strike and the square root of a forward variance swap strike. Jensen’s inequality and the tower property explain this relationship. The examples clarify payoff comparisons, but the first explicitly ignores second-order effects such as daily margining; the document does not develop pricing assumptions or hedging behavior in detail.

Key ideas

  • VIX represents the square root of a variance swap strike, rather than a volatility swap strike.
  • A variance swap payoff depends on realized variance, while a volatility swap payoff depends on realized volatility.
  • A VIX future position can have payoff behavior comparable to a volatility swap over a fixed horizon.
  • The expected future VIX level lies between related forward volatility and variance measures under the stated mathematical relationships.

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Full text
# Is the VIX more similar to a volatility swap or a variance swap?


# Is the VIX more similar to a volatility swap or a variance swap?












I am reading the following paragraph on the VIX wikipedia article and I find it confusing:

> The VIX is calculated as the square root of the par variance swap rate for a 30-day term[clarify] initiated today. Note that the VIX is the volatility of a variance swap and not that of a volatility swap (volatility being the square root of variance, or standard deviation).

This makes zero sense to me, since a volatility swap is precisely the square root of a variance swap which is what VIX is aiming to represent/estimate.

Would someone have a better/cleaner explanation than this, and perhaps update the wikipedia paragraph?

## Answer by RAY (score 11, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/29831

The price/value of the VIX index is more akin to the strike/price of a variance swap expressed in vol units than to the strike/price of a vol swap.

However, if you are to trade a VIX future (i.e. a delta one contract on the VIX index), the exposure you gain is more comparable to the one of a vol swap in the following sense:

Consider a notional of 1 and a fixed investment horizon $[0,T]$. Ignore second order effects (e.g. daily margining).

- If you buy a variance swap at $t=0$ at a price of 20% (variance strike in volatility units) and that the realised volatility over the contract's life ends up being 25%, you will lock a profit: $25^2-20^2=225$.

- If you buy a volatility swap at 20% at $t=0$ (volatility strike) and that the realised volatility over the contract's duration ends up being 25%, your profitt will be: $25-20=5$

- If you enter a VIX future at 20 (variance swap par rate expressed in vol units) at $t=0$ and unwind your position at 25 at $t=T$, you will have made $25-20=5$.

## Answer by user34971 (score 30)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/40768

\begin{align*} \text{Variance strike} &= \mathrm{E}_t \left[ \int_t^T \sigma_u^2 du \right ] \\ \text{Volswap strike} &= \mathrm{E}_t \left[ \sqrt{\int_t^T \sigma_u^2 du} \right ] \\ \text{VIX} &= \sqrt{\mathrm{E}_t \left[ \int_t^T \sigma_u^2 du \right ]} \\ \text{VIX future} &= \mathrm{E}_t \left [\sqrt{\mathrm{E}_T \left[ \int_T^{T'} \sigma_u^2 du \right ]} \right ] \\ \text{Forward variance strike} &= \mathrm{E}_t \left[ \int_T^{T'} \sigma_u^2 du \right ] \\ \text{Forward start volswap strike} &= \mathrm{E}_t \left [\sqrt{ \int_T^{T'} \sigma_u^2 du} \right ] \end{align*}

The VIX index is the square root of the variance swap strike.

The VIX future is actually somewhere in between the forward volswap strike and the square root of the forward variance swap strike as can be seen by Jensen's inequality and the tower law.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.