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Interpreting the Log-Utility Optimal Stock Allocation

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Alessandro

Summary

The document presents a continuous-time portfolio problem in which an investor divides wealth between a risky stock and cash. Wealth follows a diffusion with stock drift and volatility, and the objective is to maximize expected log wealth at a future horizon. The stated result is that the maximizing stock fraction equals the excess expected return divided by variance.

The accompanying response interprets logarithmic utility as reflecting diminishing marginal utility: losses matter more than equally sized gains, so greater volatility can reduce the attractive allocation to the risky asset. It contrasts this with a squared objective that may fail to have a finite optimizer under the specified setup. The response is brief and does not work through the stochastic control derivation, specify boundary or admissibility conditions, or fully address the original interpretation question. The optimal fraction therefore depends on the model assumptions and should not be treated as a universal allocation rule.

Key ideas

  • The portfolio model allocates wealth between a risky asset and cash over time.
  • Maximizing expected log wealth yields a stock fraction based on excess return and variance.
  • Log utility captures diminishing marginal gains and sensitivity to downside risk.
  • The stated optimum relies on the diffusion model and suitable constraints on portfolio choices.

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Full text
# Maximizing the expected log utility


# Maximizing the expected log utility












Let's assume that we have a self-financing portfolio made by $\delta_t$ shares and $M_t$ cash, so that its infinitesimal variation is:

$$ dW_t = rM_t \, dt + \delta_t \, dS_t $$

We define $\alpha_t$ as the fraction of wealth $W_t$ that is invested in stocks, namely $\alpha_t = \frac{\delta_t S_t}{W_t} $ . In particular, $\alpha_t$ is not constant for any time $t$, but it is known at time $t$.

In this way,we get another representation of the law of motion of the wealth $W_t$, given by:

$$ dW_t = W_t[r+\alpha_t(\mu-r)] \, dt + W_t\alpha_t\sigma dB $$ where $dB$ refers to the standard Brownian motion.

The goal is to maximize the following function, i.e. to maximize the expected log-utility with respect to $\alpha_t$: $$ \begin{equation} \begin{array}{l} \displaystyle \ {V(t,W_t)}=\max_{\alpha} {E(log(W_T))}\\ \ \end{array} \end{equation} $$

At the very end the result that is obtained is that $V(0, W_0)\geq E(log(W_t))$ with the equality that is reached only if $ \alpha_t = \frac{\mu-r}{\sigma^2} $

What I can't understand is not the computational or analytical side, but the interpretation that I should give to this result. The only explaination that I have supposed arises from the fact that the log utiliy is a special case of the power utility when $\eta=1$ , where $\eta$ is a measure of the risk aversion of the investor. For this reason, if the agent is risk averse, he prefers something "sure" today rather than something "stochastic" tomorrow, unless he applies a perfect optimization of his wealth.

## Answer by THATS MY QUANT MY QUANTITATIVE (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/77124

You are right about the log function. Since the payoff is the log of the portfolio, you get "diminishing" returns. So if there is a $p=q=0.5$ of the stock going $\pm 10$, the upwards payoff is less than the downwards. So in this scenario, since the payoff is only dependent on the stock, the more volatility, the less you should be invested in the stock.

If you take the case where the utility function is $(1-x)^2$ for the SDE: $$ dX_t = \alpha_t r dt + dW_t$$ Using HJB, you there is no $\alpha_t \in \mathbb{R}$ that maximises the portfolio because the payoff is "squared", so negative values of your stock still give you profitable payoffs (giving you 0 downside for investing everything in stocks).

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.