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Least-Squares Monte Carlo for American Call Options

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Elekko

Summary

The discussion explains when least-squares Monte Carlo (LSMC), also known as the Longstaff–Schwartz method, is relevant for pricing American or Bermudan calls. For a call on a non-dividend-paying stock, early exercise is not beneficial under standard assumptions, so the American option has the European value and LSMC is unnecessary. Dividends can make early exercise valuable, making the method relevant for calls as well as puts.

The replies describe LSMC as a way to estimate continuation value and compare it with immediate exercise along simulated paths. Because the estimated continuation value can be imperfect, exercise decisions may be suboptimal and the resulting price is a lower bound. One reply reports experience with downward-biased estimates for calls with no dividends and difficulty when dividend yield is small, attributing this to errors triggering exercise where there should be no early-exercise premium. This is an explanation and reported experience, not a broad empirical study; results depend on model assumptions and implementation.

Key ideas

  • For a non-dividend-paying stock, an American call has the same value as its European counterpart under standard assumptions.
  • Dividends can create an early-exercise benefit for calls, making LSMC useful.
  • LSMC estimates continuation value from simulated paths and compares it with immediate exercise.
  • Estimation error can lead to suboptimal exercise decisions and a downward-biased lower-bound price.
  • The discussion reports greater difficulty when the early-exercise benefit is absent or small.

Tags

Full text
# Can call options be priced with Least-Squares Monte Carlo?


# Can call options be priced with Least-Squares Monte Carlo?












I have been reading about Least-Squares Monte Carlo (using Longstaff & Schwartz algorithm) for option pricing. So far, I have only read examples that uses LSMC for american/bermudan PUT options only. Is there any reason for that? Or can LSMC also be used to price American CALLS? If not, then why not?

## Answer by Mark Joshi (score 5)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/25091

American calls on a non-dividend paying stock are worth the same as European ones so there is no point to using least-squares.

## Answer by Quantuple (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/25098

Mark Joshi's answer is totally correct. But I would appreciate to elaborate a little.

In textbooks you often read the exact same argument he pointed out to you.

In practice however, in the equities world, you almost always have to deal with dividends. So it is rather the American put which becomes similar to its European counterpart, and the American call which starts differing from its European parent.

This is especially true in the current low/negative rates environment. You can take any single stock option chain to check that.

So I would say it really depends on the market you are looking at. But anyways, yes, LSM can be used both for American puts and call (and even more complex payoffs such as Bermudan options).

Don't forget that it only produces a lower bound though. You can find more info in the brilliant papers of @Mark Joshi.

## Answer by Yian Pap (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/25193

Of course LSMC can be used in any case where you would benefit from early exercise (and the contract's not too convoluted I guess). So yes, if the Bermudan/American call is on a dividend-paying stock, then L-S could/would be used same way as for a put. But what happens if you try to price a Bermudan call without dividends with L-S? You should in theory get the European price as MJ is saying (even if there's no point doing it since we know this is what we should get anyway).

But has anyone tried that? I have, and in my experience L-S does not work very well in this case, in that it under-prices the option, giving a value markedly lower than the European price! The reason is, I theorise, the following: As we know L-S provides only an estimate of the continuation value and hence the decisions taken based on it will be sub-optimal and the prices low-biased. Now in the case of the American/Bermudan call with no dividends, even the slightest error in the continuation value fit will result in a sub-optimal exercise decision because the early-exercise premium is zero here. So based on the continuation value the algo should never lead to exercising in any of the simulated paths, but it actually does so we lose value...

When the dividend yield is non-zero but still pretty low, L-S also struggles and then as we increase the dividend yield and there's a clear early-exercise benefit, then it starts working better (just like it does with a Bermudan put without dividends), as in the valuations it produces are more accurate, i.e. less low-biased.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.