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Long-Only SAF40 Breakouts with ATR-Based Stops and Targets

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Summary

This strategy description presents a long-only breakout approach for South Africa’s Top 40 index. It checks recent price bars against earlier highs and lows, then enters at market when the current close exceeds the highest level found in the lookback sequence. Entries are disallowed on specified weekdays, and the strategy disables cumulative orders.

Risk and profit exits are tied to the 14-period Average True Range: the stop is set at twice ATR and the profit target at two and a half times ATR. The larger target creates an intended reward-to-risk asymmetry, but the document provides no backtest results, transaction-cost assumptions, or evidence that the entry filters are profitable. The rules are limited to long positions in this index and depend on bar-based price data; execution at market and ATR-based distances may behave differently across timeframes and market conditions.

Key ideas

  • The system takes long positions in the SAF40 index when price closes above recent highs.
  • Recent bars must also satisfy a set of range checks against prior highs and lows.
  • Entries are restricted on specified weekdays, and positions do not accumulate.
  • A 14-period ATR sets both the stop distance and the larger profit target.
  • The document describes rules but supplies no performance testing or transaction-cost analysis.

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.