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LSTM Alpha158 Model and CSI 300 Portfolio Backtest Configuration

Code Qlib

Summary

This configuration describes a Chinese equity forecasting experiment using Qlib’s Alpha158 features and an LSTM model. It selects 20 features, applies robust feature normalization and missing-value filling, and ranks labels cross-sectionally. The prediction target is the two-day forward close-price return. The dataset uses a 20-step sequence and divides the specified history into training, validation, and test periods.

The model settings specify a two-layer LSTM, mean-squared-error loss, early stopping, and GPU use. Portfolio evaluation applies a top-k dropout strategy that holds up to 50 stocks and replaces five positions at a time, with transaction costs and a price-limit threshold. Signal and portfolio analysis records are included. The document provides experiment settings rather than results: it reports no predictive accuracy, benchmark comparison, or realized return. Conclusions would depend on data quality, execution assumptions, and validation beyond the stated sample periods.

Key ideas

  • The experiment forecasts a two-day forward close-price return for CSI 300 constituents.
  • It uses 20 selected Alpha158 features with robust normalization and missing-value filling.
  • The LSTM receives sequences of 20 time steps and is trained with mean-squared-error loss.
  • A top-k dropout strategy evaluates portfolio signals while accounting for specified costs and price limits.
  • The configuration contains no performance results, so it does not establish that the model is profitable.

Tags

Full text
# workflow_config_lstm_Alpha158.yaml


```yaml
qlib_init:
    provider_uri: "~/.qlib/qlib_data/cn_data"
    region: cn
market: &market csi300
benchmark: &benchmark SH000300
data_handler_config: &data_handler_config
    start_time: 2008-01-01
    end_time: 2020-08-01
    fit_start_time: 2008-01-01
    fit_end_time: 2014-12-31
    instruments: *market
    infer_processors:
        - class: FilterCol
          kwargs:
              fields_group: feature
              col_list: ["RESI5", "WVMA5", "RSQR5", "KLEN", "RSQR10", "CORR5", "CORD5", "CORR10", 
                            "ROC60", "RESI10", "VSTD5", "RSQR60", "CORR60", "WVMA60", "STD5", 
                            "RSQR20", "CORD60", "CORD10", "CORR20", "KLOW"
                        ]
        - class: RobustZScoreNorm
          kwargs:
              fields_group: feature
              clip_outlier: true
        - class: Fillna
          kwargs:
              fields_group: feature
    learn_processors:
        - class: DropnaLabel
        - class: CSRankNorm
          kwargs:
              fields_group: label
    label: ["Ref($close, -2) / Ref($close, -1) - 1"]

port_analysis_config: &port_analysis_config
    strategy:
        class: TopkDropoutStrategy
        module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
        kwargs:
            signal: <PRED>
            topk: 50
            n_drop: 5
    backtest:
        start_time: 2017-01-01
        end_time: 2020-08-01
        account: 100000000
        benchmark: *benchmark
        exchange_kwargs:
            limit_threshold: 0.095
            deal_price: close
            open_cost: 0.0005
            close_cost: 0.0015
            min_cost: 5
task:
    model:
        class: LSTM
        module_path: qlib.contrib.model.pytorch_lstm_ts
        kwargs:
            d_feat: 20
            hidden_size: 64
            num_layers: 2
            dropout: 0.0
            n_epochs: 200
            lr: 1e-3
            early_stop: 10
            batch_size: 800
            metric: loss
            loss: mse
            n_jobs: 20
            GPU: 0
    dataset:
        class: TSDatasetH
        module_path: qlib.data.dataset
        kwargs:
            handler:
                class: Alpha158
                module_path: qlib.contrib.data.handler
                kwargs: *data_handler_config
            segments:
                train: [2008-01-01, 2014-12-31]
                valid: [2015-01-01, 2016-12-31]
                test: [2017-01-01, 2020-08-01]
            step_len: 20
    record: 
        - class: SignalRecord
          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
          kwargs: 
            model: <MODEL>
            dataset: <DATASET>
        - class: SigAnaRecord
          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
          kwargs: 
            ana_long_short: False
            ann_scaler: 252
        - class: PortAnaRecord
          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
          kwargs: 
            config: *port_analysis_config

```

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: MIT

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.