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Modeling a Private Equity Clawback as a Put Option

Article Quant Q&A · Author: TryingtoLearn

Summary

The document shows how to model a private equity clawback when the value relevant to limited partners consists of a risky net asset value component and a fixed amount of past distributions. It represents the net asset value as a geometric Brownian motion and treats distributions as a constant. With a strike that grows at a preferred rate, the terminal clawback payoff can be rewritten as a put on the risky component, using an adjusted strike equal to the grown contribution amount minus the fixed distributions.

This transformation lets the analyst apply a plain-vanilla European put framework to the risky asset value, and the answer gives a formula for the exercise probability under the stated process. The setup assumes distributions are fixed and that the net asset value follows the specified diffusion. If the adjusted strike is nonpositive, the put payoff and exercise probability are zero; the usual log-based formula requires a positive strike. The model does not address more complex fund waterfalls, uncertain distributions, or other contractual features.

Key ideas

  • A clawback payoff can be represented as a put on the risky net asset value component.
  • Fixed distributions reduce the effective strike by their amount.
  • A preferred growth rate can be incorporated by growing the contribution-based strike to maturity.
  • Under the stated geometric Brownian motion model, the exercise probability follows the usual put framework.
  • A nonpositive adjusted strike implies no positive put payoff, and the log-based formula does not apply directly.

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Full text
# Using black scholes to model a clawback in private equity


# Using black scholes to model a clawback in private equity












I am new to Black Scholes, and trying to use it to model a clawback in private equity. Essentially, a clawback gives the "limited" partners in the deal the option to pull some funds away from the "general" partner. I am essentially trying to value a put option, to assess the likelihood of the put option being in the money (i.e. $\mathcal{N} \left( -d_2 \right)$).

I believe the option in this case would rely on: Underlying value (i.e. "S"): net asset value of the investments + the distributions earned by the "limited" partners Exercise ("K"): the capital contributions (with a preferred growth rate) of the "limited" partners

My concern is primarily with the portion of "S", and not as much with "K". "S" has 2 separate components: the net asset value which has a volatility, and the distributions which does not have a volatility. I'm essentially trying to figure out how to model using Black Scholes when my "S" has a component with and without volatility. Has anyone had to deal with this before?

Thank you!

Update to question: thanks LocalVolatility! (I am now logged in using my own account). Two clarifications: 1) I do not understand what the "+" after the brackets mean in your answer below? Thought maybe it would help that I understood it moving forward. Example: $\left( \hat{K} - X_T \right)^+$ 2) Also, there will be times when the distribution $Y$ is larger than $K e^{\gamma T}$; so $\hat{K}$ will be less than 0. I think this is OK. $X$ (in this case the net present value, which follows a Brownian motion) is never less than 0. So, when $\hat{K}$ is less than 0 because $Y$ is larger than $K e^{\gamma T}$, the payoff $\left( \hat{K} - X_T \right)^+$ will end up being negative. We can just interpret this payoff as being 0. Further, the actual calculation of $\mathcal{N} \left( -d_2 \right)$ would just lead to an error. So, we can also interpret $\mathcal{N} \left( -d_2 \right)$ as being 0. This is because the likelihood of being in the money in this case is just 0. Does this align with your thinking?

## Answer by LocalVolatility (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/33021

This answer is an extended version of my comment on your question.

Here is how I understand you setup: The underlying value $S$ is given by the sum of two components: $S_t = X_t + Y$. Here $X$ is the net asset value following a geometric Brownian motion

\begin{equation} \mathrm{d}X_t = \mu X_t \mathrm{d}t + \sigma X_t \mathrm{d}W_t. \end{equation}

with drift $\mu$ and volatility $\sigma$. $Y$ is the value of the distributions which is fixed.

You want to price a European put option with maturity in $T$ and strike price $K e^{\gamma T}$ where $\gamma$ is the growth rate of the strike. The terminal payoff of this option is

\begin{eqnarray} V_T & = & \left( K e^{\gamma T} - S_T \right)^+\\ & = & \left( K e^{\gamma T} - X_T - Y \right)^+\\ & = & \left( \hat{K} - X_T \right)^+, \end{eqnarray}

where $\hat{K} = K e^{\gamma T} - Y$. I.e. the value of this option is the value of European plain vanilla put option on the asset $X$. The exercise probability is $\mathcal{N} \left( -d_- \right)$ as usual, where

\begin{equation} d_- = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{T}} \left( \ln \left( \frac{X_0}{\hat{K}} \right) + \left( \mu - \frac{1}{2} \sigma^2 \right) T \right). \end{equation}

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.