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Multi-Indicator Trend Following with ATR Stops and Drawdown Limits

Article Strategy library · Author: ChaoZhang

Summary

This BTC futures strategy combines EMA crossovers with a price-channel filter to define direction. RSI, DMI, momentum, and elevated volume further qualify entries, while an ATR-based stop and a take-profit target set the trade’s exit levels. The design also sizes positions from a fixed share of initial capital and disables new entries after a monthly drawdown threshold is reached.

The document describes the rules and includes Pine source plus a backtest configuration for four-hour bars spanning roughly one year. It reports no performance metrics, so its claim of improved accuracy or long-term profitability is not demonstrated by results. It flags lagging signals, false entries in range-bound markets, and limited flexibility when volatility changes. The stated risk allocation and drawdown cap are rule settings rather than evidence that losses are bounded in practice; execution, sizing assumptions, and reversals can affect realized risk.

Key ideas

  • EMA alignment and a price-channel midpoint define the broad trend direction.
  • RSI, DMI, momentum, and volume conditions are combined to filter potential entries.
  • ATR determines stop distance, while the target is set at twice that distance.
  • Position size is based on a fixed fraction of initial capital, with a monthly drawdown threshold blocking further entries.
  • The document provides no backtest performance statistics to validate the strategy’s claimed effectiveness.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.